MLB · resolved market
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5f065035641686900f0b8c66ce80cbbb4bb24e1457a0249c8279ff2f6d748d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Houston Astros | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 8,928$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros | 43c | 7,179$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095.74 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 6,703$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 6,507$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.32 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 5,653$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 28c | 5,346$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 4,611$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.29 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 3,211$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.27 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 3,117$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.44 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,677$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.9 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,670$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 847.69$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.43 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 722.4$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.2 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Houston Astros | 21c | 600$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 33c | 561.26$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 505$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.45 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 420$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 402.37$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 366.35$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Houston Astros | 28c | 333.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.28 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 42c | 318$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.44 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 258.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 207$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 190.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 180.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Houston Astros | 21c | 178$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 78c | 171.58$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Houston Astros | 15c | 163$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 154.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 140.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Houston Astros | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Houston Astros | 29c | 117$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Houston Astros | 43c | 115.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 111.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Houston Astros | 44c | 82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…e9bebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 80.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Houston Astros | 41c | 74.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Houston Astros | 27c | 70.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Houston Astros | 43c | 68.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 67.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Houston Astros | 28c | 64.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Houston Astros | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 56.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Houston Astros | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Houston Astros | 31c | 51.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Houston Astros | 36c | 51.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Houston Astros | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Houston Astros | 40c | 49.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Houston Astros | 34c | 48.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 48.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Houston Astros | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 47.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Houston Astros | 40c | 44.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 42.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 40.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 38.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 37.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 58c | 37.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Houston Astros | 33c | 35.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 34.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Houston Astros | 43c | 30.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Houston Astros | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Detroit Tigers | 78c | 20.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Houston Astros | 75c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Detroit Tigers | 73c | 15.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.