Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca0d2d14d0576a1cbc039eb379128ccc808ae6d83f374d3bb6b6beffd4eeff68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof FUT Esports, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports | 33c | 150,000$49,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,296.84 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed EDward Gaming | 67c | 119,335$79,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,380.65 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked EDward Gaming | 68c | 20,282$13,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.28 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed EDward Gaming | 67c | 10,010$6,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.24 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 991.07$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked FUT Esports | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed FUT Esports | 54c | 768.35$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.91 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 514.08$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed FUT Esports | 32c | 271.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed EDward Gaming | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed FUT Esports | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FUT Esports | 29c | 248.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked EDward Gaming | 70c | 166.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…d95bbacked FUT Esports | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8da8backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 140.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed FUT Esports | 29c | 131.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…f439backed EDward Gaming | 67c | 100.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed EDward Gaming | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca1…ee3fbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed EDward Gaming | 67c | 44.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FUT Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…d48ebacked EDward Gaming | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed EDward Gaming | 68c | 26.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed EDward Gaming | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91c…bde0backed EDward Gaming | 76c | 20.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)EDward Gaming won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)EDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.