TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed FUT Esports55c53,391$29,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,339.6954751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked EDward Gaming45c45,000$20,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,7501963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed FUT Esports55c24,832$13,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,746.2110455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked EDward Gaming53c7,076$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,351.6565559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed EDward Gaming49c5,408$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.4353159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked EDward Gaming65c5,332$3,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.3978562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked EDward Gaming56c4,673$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.4810238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked EDward Gaming51c4,539$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.4668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports48c4,502$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.2788844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed EDward Gaming55c3,382$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.276259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed EDward Gaming51c2,871$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.386373%46 W · 17 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked EDward Gaming43c2,750$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked EDward Gaming29c2,631$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.8414534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked FUT Esports55c2,532$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.598951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed EDward Gaming44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4007847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed EDward Gaming41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.021154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed FUT Esports64c2,398$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.7114750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53d6…bdd7backed EDward Gaming57c2,104$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed EDward Gaming44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9239042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports57c1,818$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.6325660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EDward Gaming54c1,798$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.311,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming43c1,686$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.493049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked EDward Gaming58c1,678$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.0653355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb02…c292backed FUT Esports54c1,662$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.613571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed FUT Esports45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72032047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked EDward Gaming44c1,560$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.91850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked EDward Gaming56c1,448$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.311,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed EDward Gaming52c1,445$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.1656357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…f510backed EDward Gaming44c1,371$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.39650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed FUT Esports50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed EDward Gaming45c1,084$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.116352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed EDward Gaming24c1,078$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+222.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed FUT Esports55c982.13$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.365444.4%24 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed FUT Esports52c955.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports58c948.68$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.994361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports53c944.76$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7657…66ccbacked EDward Gaming64c897.45$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.872576%19 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked FUT Esports54c869$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.712147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed EDward Gaming44c832.9$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.5917349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed EDward Gaming32c818.66$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1760022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed EDward Gaming43c729.15$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.1919240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed FUT Esports54c726.46$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.2542540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked EDward Gaming45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3854544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked EDward Gaming48c686.65$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.872369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports50c607.51$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.31,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc46…c7c5backed FUT Esports42c574.65$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24460%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FUT Esports54c567$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6499846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed EDward Gaming56c564.02$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.441,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked FUT Esports58c562$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6942140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed FUT Esports56c530$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed FUT Esports57c520.93$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3414443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FUT Esports52c520.81$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.011,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed EDward Gaming59c511.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.192166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed EDward Gaming39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30522018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f70…123dbacked FUT Esports60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked EDward Gaming40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25553442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed FUT Esports56c494.96$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed FUT Esports56c489.57$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.8114252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed EDward Gaming48c489.07$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.573151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c23…bf7abacked FUT Esports75c452.46$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed EDward Gaming40c446.86$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1310159.4%60 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed EDward Gaming41c444.82$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4410842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3323…213abacked EDward Gaming45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.442450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed EDward Gaming39c443$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.236456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed FUT Esports31c437.54$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3126051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked FUT Esports55c431$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.051957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d3…9e86backed EDward Gaming32c424.13$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+82.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd06…f0c1backed EDward Gaming24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.673046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd44…e3c9backed FUT Esports25c405.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed FUT Esports18c396$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.716033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports51c384.78$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.51,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FUT Esports60c384.05$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.4251749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked FUT Esports47c383.05$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.297737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked FUT Esports69c380.33$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4315450%77 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked EDward Gaming31c370$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+59.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed FUT Esports56c359.15$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.126553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked EDward Gaming25c358.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.521,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f09…f339backed EDward Gaming46c350$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc4b…553bbacked EDward Gaming29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.831040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked FUT Esports30c335$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.536138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f12…a27abacked FUT Esports54c333.35$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked FUT Esports53c325.53$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1315342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed FUT Esports75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed FUT Esports54c300$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3143059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x435f…2de6backed EDward Gaming69c288.41$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked EDward Gaming43c288.35$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8984838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked EDward Gaming70c286.87$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0611450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed EDward Gaming36c278.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.441643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6787…e54abacked EDward Gaming72c266.75$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked FUT Esports59c262.04$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.294650%23 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed FUT Esports53c260$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.81741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed EDward Gaming46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked FUT Esports52c249.46$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7231046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked EDward Gaming44c247.05$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5810951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed EDward Gaming33c241.96$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.966755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked FUT Esports55c222.22$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.226445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked FUT Esports31c213.89$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2422352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e51…2412backed EDward Gaming45c212.62$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.947745.5%35 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked EDward Gaming45c211.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1414452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.