TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c23…bf7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5641.1%23 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$116.67
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.47
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.47
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$73.85
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$44.05
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$34
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$57.11
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+144.7%+$36.17
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+124.6%+$276.5
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+296.8%+$74.21
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+218.5%+$48.06
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+106%+$37.08
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Gen.G vs PSG Talon (BO1)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.78
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+147.8%+$36.96
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$59.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.