Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88257461af400df3ef25bd839445afacad40f5bc37321c15d5373180f5869f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 70c | 3,391$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.31 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Over | 30c | 3,075$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 72c | 636$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 1,102 | 52.3%576 W · 526 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…e331backed Over | 28c | 579.97$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 28c | 301.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 30c | 282.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 1,640 | 43.8%719 W · 921 L | -75.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 10c | 273.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 27c | 262.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 75c | 213.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Over | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…b040backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 235 | 54%127 W · 108 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Under | 72c | 77.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…073ebacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 26c | 63.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 3,032 | 44.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L | -100.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…bf7abacked Over | 29c | 42.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Under | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…81d4backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Under | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf128…5584backed Under | 71c | 23.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 579 | 56%324 W · 255 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 72c | 13.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,578 | 48.5%765 W · 813 L | +18.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Yes won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.