TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under34c4,056$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.711,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under34c3,440$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.696048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Over65c2,338$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.471,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under44c1,885$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.5137948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over64c1,843$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.091,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed Over66c1,504$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.057248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under44c1,289$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.5532555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under34c1,225$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.72,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Over66c1,212$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007334.2%25 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under43c1,203$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6648844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under32c1,174$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.812,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under35c1,110$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.991,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over69c1,102$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.033253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over56c1,050$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under37c929.97$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5891,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Over66c739.26$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9125560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Over68c733.08$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.8449461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over63c705.34$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.3848747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Over67c671.93$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45060855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over66c640.53$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.751,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under34c633$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.8797854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under35c628.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4720036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over65c540$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35114732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over66c498$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.685536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under32c467.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.21,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over66c428.62$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8954529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Under35c428.57$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5720739.1%81 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Under30c398$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.617042.9%73 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over68c396.55$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.0215635.9%56 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Over56c357$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9213660.3%82 W · 54 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under71c339.01$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.841,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0542…0a81backed Over56c335.87$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over66c326.4$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4211938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under30c298.51$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.961,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2b…57dcbacked Over80c257$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over66c245.45$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16224554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under27c241.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5112539.2%49 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Over68c218.76$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14816456.7%93 W · 71 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Over66c217.97$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8616241.4%67 W · 95 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Over56c215.38$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6131244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Under67c184.77$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.618547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Over66c181.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206547.7%31 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c181.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.212,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over57c180.7$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10315950.3%80 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Under35c176.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.817455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked Under44c171.52$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.665650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under13c170$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.61,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under35c167.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.991,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under34c165.45$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.381,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044350.8%225 W · 218 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010253.9%55 W · 47 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b4…73a6backed Over70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9959647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Over55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510169.3%70 W · 31 L+14.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under32c122$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.273,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over63c120$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.61,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over34c111.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6622265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6617755.9%99 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba42…27d2backed Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6635223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Over68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.996643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7528759.9%172 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Over67c92.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.713644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Over57c87.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Over66c85.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.215759.2%93 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under36c82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.861,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over74c80.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4482836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Over66c77.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-57.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Over66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over32c73.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.391520%3 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x69f4…3b05backed Under35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.435048%24 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf63e…f525backed Over64c70.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over65c68.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3660243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5423…8b45backed Under33c61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8711352.2%59 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b58…3474backed Under35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.142941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over70c56.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3966058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Over51c56.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6812741.7%53 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under45c55.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5519148.7%93 W · 98 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Over66c52.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.829966.7%66 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Over56c47.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.74766%31 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef34…c8a0backed Over65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0664…f7f0backed Under34c44.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.063943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over25c43.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.821,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44060%24 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa4…767cbacked Over70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810140.6%41 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over49c37.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2840641.9%170 W · 236 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x310b…19ccbacked Under35c37.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.144553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29de…6bd7backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over56c33.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x511d…3633backed Under50c30.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4916356.4%92 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2547…8b5cbacked Over65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a88…ded1backed Over65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Over66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Over66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked Over66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021457%122 W · 92 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb6…67edbacked Under35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Over74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.210056%56 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.