TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Gen.G, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5286…0d47backed Gen.G52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40027637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked T148c15,100$7,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,85211938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Gen.G50c9,658$4,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,828.951,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed T149c9,491$4,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,857.43650%18 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Gen.G51c7,777$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,990.381,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Gen.G54c7,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78016155.3%89 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Gen.G51c6,481$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.9867552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked T150c6,120$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06017647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed T148c6,083$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.517248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Gen.G51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0601,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked T148c5,206$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.9727447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Gen.G49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45010449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Gen.G52c4,489$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.2947455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed T146c4,349$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.431,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf160…c3e7backed T148c3,894$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked T151c3,737$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.136829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked T151c3,500$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.9712649.2%62 W · 64 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Gen.G49c3,292$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.741,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9de…7310backed T148c3,201$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.621650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed T150c3,012$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.751,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked T149c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9849940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked T145c2,675$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.7223948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed T153c2,517$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.2462451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed T149c2,324$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.1697854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8579…185fbacked Gen.G50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Gen.G51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9932145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed T150c1,960$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.810237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed T153c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.9726661.7%164 W · 102 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd273…9a33backed T151c1,800$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.882634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed T148c1,592$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.977147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Gen.G52c1,538$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.391,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed T149c1,534$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.672,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed T149c1,530$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.382554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed T148c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Gen.G52c1,432$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.652062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed Gen.G54c1,358$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7306752.2%35 W · 32 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked T154c1,352$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.1619336.3%70 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed T146c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64885746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Gen.G59c1,104$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.972,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Gen.G51c1,085$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.522,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed T154c1,082$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.3919232.8%63 W · 129 L-17.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Gen.G51c1,042$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.4451852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed T148c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.0818839.9%75 W · 113 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked T150c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…4243backed T148c990.18$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.891442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed T148c987.36$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.435133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed T141c982$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.026235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed T149c958.78$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.916645.8%76 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…4a37backed Gen.G43c925.53$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015349%75 W · 78 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T146c888$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.521,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked T147c885.75$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.4522748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Gen.G51c881.65$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0639447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed T147c808.21$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.3531337.7%118 W · 195 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Gen.G47c807.95$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.743237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Gen.G50c800.23$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40411339.8%45 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789b…11f8backed Gen.G53c794.29$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.099751.5%50 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x255e…5456backed T139c794.11$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed T148c786.54$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4096434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Gen.G51c780$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39764749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked T150c760$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3796953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed T148c750$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.541343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa614…0bafbacked Gen.G54c750$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.551625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Gen.G54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019644.9%88 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Gen.G51c707.96$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.061,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9e…1359backed Gen.G51c673.63$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5510156.4%57 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed T160c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.678264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Gen.G54c619.69$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3238850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Gen.G51c601.85$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.382,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Gen.G52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Gen.G53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed T146c555$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.752045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Gen.G53c553.21$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.228652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Gen.G49c532$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6810443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked T154c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2309545.3%43 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked T152c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404665.2%30 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked T149c499.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25522930.6%70 W · 159 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gen.G45c488.4$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.251,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Gen.G52c485.09$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.148852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Gen.G47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011762.4%73 W · 44 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed Gen.G48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a66…d749backed Gen.G52c412.71$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked T149c406.49$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.314337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0abb…d188backed Gen.G53c402.62$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3950%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked T150c400.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.228852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b16fbacked T150c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Gen.G52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked T149c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Gen.G51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20415143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa644…026ebacked T148c383$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.162556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Gen.G52c380$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.656650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked T148c379.09$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1321844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed T140c359.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162387%20 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Gen.G52c336.54$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Gen.G51c315.69$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16137640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Gen.G52c302.95$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5212341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x179d…26abbacked Gen.G51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15353829.9%161 W · 377 L-19.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd72…481dbacked Gen.G55c260$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Gen.G52c259.62$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Gen.G53c252$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5619758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked T149c251.02$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0216654.2%90 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.