TailMyPicks
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Market

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under26c20,485$5,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,378.41,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Over74c17,603$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.3939964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over72c11,703$8,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.811,10252.3%576 W · 526 L+5.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under26c11,264$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.3223948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under29c7,777$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.321,53554.9%843 W · 692 L+40.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under29c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.991,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3505851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under27c4,768$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.621,30445.2%589 W · 715 L+50.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Under31c4,056$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.8541439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over70c3,328$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.7829043.1%125 W · 165 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under34c2,774$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.461,52850.5%772 W · 756 L+3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6203253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over72c1,960$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.2525843%111 W · 147 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under28c1,430$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.444335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Over71c1,400$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40626068.5%178 W · 82 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3926959.4%41 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under29c1,168$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.762,19153.5%1,173 W · 1,018 L+63.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Over72c1,041$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.731947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28059647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over65c852.31$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.313943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1134…848fbacked Over75c845.72$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.531850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over71c788.83$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.763650%18 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under28c720$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,18944.8%533 W · 656 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over74c677.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0310847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b62…fd3ebacked Over74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c04…ba84backed Over74c671.46$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.582254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over71c634.55$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.392,57439.7%1,021 W · 1,553 L-81.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Over72c550$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1545740.4%23 W · 34 L-8.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Over72c535$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.89537.9%36 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over71c524.72$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.424748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…4745backed Over66c500.03$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+115.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Over74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3e…176dbacked Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over72c480.69$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.161,64043.8%719 W · 921 L-75.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e3d…6143backed Over72c470.88$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.883740.5%15 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x97ee…b868backed Under31c416.52$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.136256.5%35 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over72c410$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.824554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e1…8a22backed Over70c389.07$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.11656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over73c369.86$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8665663.1%414 W · 242 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e83…81d1backed Over72c365.38$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.314042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2141…0effbacked Over74c363.51$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.512556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over73c330.21$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.461442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over71c316$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.551,49143.5%649 W · 842 L-32.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over69c311.46$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.091,02354.5%558 W · 465 L+49.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under36c306.7$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.862,34639.3%923 W · 1,423 L-86.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under38c304.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.822,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435f…2de6backed Over72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed Over66c295.29$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.44156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.784757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over67c276.37$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.981,18566.1%783 W · 402 L+70.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd42c…51adbacked Under48c260$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6576249.5%377 W · 385 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over68c237.35$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.959834.7%34 W · 64 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under31c230$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.038045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under31c227.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.493,03244.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L-100.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over76c225.14$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5330831.8%98 W · 210 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3aa8…e33ebacked Over69c210.06$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0711560.9%70 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…ba0bbacked Over72c209.98$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.899445.7%43 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over72c209.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1366858.7%392 W · 276 L-38.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa452…d77ebacked Over72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5823449.6%116 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec09…4c2fbacked Over69c188.78$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.789646.9%45 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over76c170.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7463458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under32c153.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.271,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4654…7b37backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over72c149.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4224649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…caf8backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8518660.2%112 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under36c140.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.441,06654.8%584 W · 482 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2082…fdffbacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.147070%49 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2f1…7eeabacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1412057.5%69 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Under30c134.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.997455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8cf…80febacked Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over74c130.46$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.927844.9%35 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under28c121$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8822748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under31c113.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.212,54547.3%1,203 W · 1,342 L-35.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over71c113.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8348042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd23…0318backed Over71c106.34$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over71c105.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6318952.9%100 W · 89 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a9…2c34backed Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715541.9%65 W · 90 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762246.5%289 W · 333 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under17c99.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2616919.5%33 W · 136 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked Under36c97.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2121556.7%122 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbafd…8669backed Over67c92.67$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.22875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5559…0104backed Over72c84.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d220backed Under36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbae2…c3c4backed Under36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.956051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Over72c70.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8328166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under30c70.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.851,57848.5%765 W · 813 L+18.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90d1…2cf6backed Over71c69.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.142552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d9…fa77backed Over66c69.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.47240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4938151.2%195 W · 186 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over71c63.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3947152%245 W · 226 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Under20c62.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.535749.6%177 W · 180 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa02f…d910backed Over73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x578a…e324backed Under29c58.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172532%8 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over77c57.74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.281,93935.8%695 W · 1,244 L-99.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.