TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0df…5974backed Over32c7,813$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,312.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+228.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under68c7,000$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.981,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under67c6,666$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,497.791,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over32c3,737$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.924832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over32c1,862$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.251,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Over30c1,260$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.31,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over31c1,199$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.222,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under36c1,165$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.6830731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over54c1,150$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.172544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Over54c1,059$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.826235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over50c1,038$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.0597854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under69c1,027$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.462,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Over32c829.49$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.6762451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under68c799.98$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.991,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under47c765.75$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7637948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under28c699.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19472637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cc…506fbacked Over34c596.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.593855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Over32c582.28$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.952755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over32c555$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.41,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under63c539.45$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.132,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Over34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3303030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Over32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402326.1%6 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa17e…cfcdbacked Under66c433.1$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.854050%20 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under59c399.13$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.162,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed Under70c357.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011854.2%64 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aaf…e864backed Under67c344$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over33c325.76$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2654529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over35c321.63$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.322564%16 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over56c306$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.182,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over63c277.95$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.846521.5%14 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under44c275.6$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0416819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under69c265.97$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5219758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over34c244.12$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1228643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f6…0650backed Under72c242.54$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6313651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under62c232.37$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0725447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under45c229.69$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.281250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over38c224.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.671,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Over47c204.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.194551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13860243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under70c199.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14074849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under69c199.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9921747%102 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under48c194$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.113,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under71c183.95$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13061256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Under35c155.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.287739%30 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under46c145.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.431,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c137$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.722,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Over31c128.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.827455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under65c122.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5524643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under49c119.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5549739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d220backed Over43c115.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8415953.5%85 W · 74 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over38c113.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1615950.3%80 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.113830.4%42 W · 96 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.160738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.159740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under46c106$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.988045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2663458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33b0…3636backed Over31c104.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.163050%15 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over59c101.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.551866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under51c100.49$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.071,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0453…2ad6backed Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+51.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Under51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9924554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over61c95.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.542149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over60c94.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.141,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d6c…72f5backed Over34c89.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.345925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3315543.9%68 W · 87 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6368253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over67c79.58$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.262,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over39c77.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8321233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under62c77.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.811030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over71c73.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.162,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Over34c72.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.812638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under69c72.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.757351.3%294 W · 279 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7948…dad7backed Under70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013160.3%79 W · 52 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0c…4aacbacked Over44c71.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd23…0318backed Over31c70.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under27c69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Over31c67.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Over38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.799537.9%36 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7322…9f57backed Over31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.523762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2843backed Over32c62.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.426358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c53.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Over31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.54247.6%20 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf7…e5dbbacked Over31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+54.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under48c49.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9440641.9%170 W · 236 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe092…359fbacked Under70c48.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.897866.7%52 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Under67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under34c43.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.013957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x7477…8c2dbacked Over57c43.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked Over47c42.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.458740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.334834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under70c37.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.081,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under70c36.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7441156.7%233 W · 178 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7546452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under64c34.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.041,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over50c32.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2411258%65 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under52c31.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.361,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c9…a44ebacked Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.