TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Gen.G
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,558,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,870,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,558,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 968 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Gen.G50c85,470$42,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,940.161,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Gen.G68c60,546$41,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,239.561,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Gen.G69c49,927$34,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,482.9490348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed T136c43,221$15,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,649.9740851.7%211 W · 197 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed T131c38,274$11,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,409.0151146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed T131c34,426$10,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,870.332250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Gen.G62c30,930$19,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,207.5667760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed T142c29,629$12,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,235.631,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed Gen.G3c27,126$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.7844120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed T136c22,917$8,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,746.651,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Gen.G67c22,259$14,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,997.791,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Gen.G68c22,000$15,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,022.3992254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Gen.G65c21,707$14,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,091.221,15849.2%570 W · 588 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed T132c20,085$6,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,596.7964455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Gen.G68c20,000$13,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,599.982,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked T142c19,793$8,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,401.771,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed T145c18,633$8,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,263.4623141.1%95 W · 136 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Gen.G66c16,587$10,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,960.513342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5a5…c668backed T130c15,823$4,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,032.641546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6100…ed95backed Gen.G63c15,186$9,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,582.488259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T137c15,137$5,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,595.361,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Gen.G2c14,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-81.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed T126c14,000$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,398.3916356.4%92 W · 71 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9671…d8c4backed Gen.G74c13,550$10,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,015.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed T134c12,941$4,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,557.531644.3%140 W · 176 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed T131c12,854$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,868.9319122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Gen.G67c12,508$8,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,331.7748449.8%241 W · 243 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe6…7027backed T132c12,190$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,300.51546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked T138c12,065$4,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,458.4935341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa57d…701fbacked T147c11,826$5,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,230.4712446%57 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked T133c11,764$3,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,881.8326849.3%132 W · 136 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked T138c11,325$4,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,060.4934536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Gen.G71c10,750$7,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,607.0455056.7%312 W · 238 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked T151c10,140$5,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.971,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed T133c10,125$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,809.5986136.2%312 W · 549 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Gen.G69c10,000$6,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,882.27848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Gen.G51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9867552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed T149c9,648$4,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,954.6439964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec8…3a77backed Gen.G45c9,591$4,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,302.559542.1%40 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Gen.G65c9,465$6,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,174.761,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Gen.G70c9,100$6,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,338.981,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed T140c8,851$3,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,347.4910030%30 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked T143c8,651$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,946.7567250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked T139c8,560$3,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,193.559548.2%287 W · 308 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed T139c8,550$3,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,192.018538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked T167c8,332$5,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.1912664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked T145c8,280$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,535.2512557.6%72 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed T170c8,004$5,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.228651.2%44 W · 42 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Gen.G71c7,851$5,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,556.691,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed T157c7,808$4,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,353.1276639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Gen.G12c7,633$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.5589746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Gen.G62c7,598$4,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,706.7521144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ee…b868backed Gen.G54c7,560$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.216256.5%35 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Gen.G68c7,530$5,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,138.2959854.2%324 W · 274 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4eb…1a6ebacked T136c7,000$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,513.818933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Gen.G70c6,583$4,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,607.9710353.4%55 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Gen.G60c6,502$3,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,877.8410046%46 W · 54 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b36…b103backed T147c6,500$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,440.413360.2%80 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed T155c6,312$3,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.661,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed T133c6,061$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060.619053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Gen.G55c5,727$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.4932650.3%164 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed T136c5,556$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.5551748.2%249 W · 268 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed T130c5,500$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,845.7318132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Gen.G70c5,489$3,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,841.951,00554%543 W · 462 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Gen.G66c5,169$3,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,427.226856%150 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Gen.G68c5,149$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,501.3218953.4%101 W · 88 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed T130c5,135$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,616.2426942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac6…122fbacked T139c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.211729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed T139c5,034$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.2463540.2%255 W · 380 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed Gen.G68c5,006$3,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,426.8713752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Gen.G61c4,800$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9281,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed T142c4,767$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.2458457.7%337 W · 247 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T140c4,693$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.92,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a7…9631backed T126c4,692$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,491.542231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-8.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x842c…6674backed T140c4,521$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.0218162.4%113 W · 68 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed T141c4,500$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.9739851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked T130c4,430$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.256347.1%45 W · 589 L-1.9wins0.00per pick7cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Gen.G66c4,254$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.192544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked T132c4,249$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.6488544.3%392 W · 493 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Gen.G69c4,238$2,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.267276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked T162c4,140$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57834448.8%168 W · 176 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed T139c4,056$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.216645.8%76 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed T133c4,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,68090443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T132c4,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7401,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed T140c3,755$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.513,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed T130c3,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.9832534.8%113 W · 212 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84da…b692backed T140c3,385$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T160c3,374$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.0759658.2%347 W · 249 L-29.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked T133c3,370$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.737640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b1…a837backed Gen.G70c3,312$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.481428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Gen.G69c3,300$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.566947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed T150c3,294$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.789265.2%60 W · 32 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Gen.G65c3,265$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.9696347.7%459 W · 504 L+2.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Gen.G56c3,250$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.51,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Gen.G63c3,211$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.681,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Gen.G64c3,178$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.0219948.2%96 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed T140c3,120$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.251,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8930…18dbbacked T131c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Gen.G71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13064553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Gen.G60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.