TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked Under49c24,724$12,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,146.8683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over51c11,188$5,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,519.3664852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9da…2688backed Over51c9,808$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,808.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under49c7,944$3,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,863.125658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71ff…b005backed Over51c6,803$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,303.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under52c6,411$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,322.571,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under35c5,197$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.942,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Over60c5,196$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.3614042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under52c4,791$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.275,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over65c3,991$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.991,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under50c3,566$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.398556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Under37c3,500$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28092456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c3,379$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.5214934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87db…9cfebacked Over49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under48c2,918$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.5922447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c2,289$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.612,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over48c2,090$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.7121545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c2,063$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.952,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88b…19d9backed Over51c2,050$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.621070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,020$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Over48c2,013$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2712…677abacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over50c2,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0106456.3%36 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Over50c1,939$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over42c1,808$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.821,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under52c1,731$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Under52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9614950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d5…180abacked Over47c1,185$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.342536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Over49c1,113$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.966251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.675242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over49c1,030$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.311846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4808833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.395135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.395345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over51c925.1$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.332542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under47c894.94$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.53,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c840$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.827753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3148350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under52c748.02$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.673,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c726.36$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.552,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Under42c716.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb434…8b4fbacked Over51c636.43$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.852475%18 W · 6 L+6.8wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+74.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over48c634.21$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.7915758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c14…a9c1backed Over51c627.45$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.455464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under44c606.56$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.172,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over48c605.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8729044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Over51c541.8$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4816349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x86df…7d27backed Over48c507.91$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1119947.2%94 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under52c506.44$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26389248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under49c500.1$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0526650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2359046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24520944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23528042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf400…2f56backed Over50c497.84$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c485$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.741,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under51c484.81$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2519351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over49c458.67$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1911150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under42c451$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.25,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b6c…2acbbacked Over51c386.25$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under42c366$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.972,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over56c356.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5840449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over58c353.43$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3968659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed Under37c350$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.54926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2141…0effbacked Over51c333.59$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.465453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a26…46c6backed Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.512043.3%52 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ce…100fbacked Over66c302$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c302$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15110053%53 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over48c300$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15791945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd304…3ed2backed Over51c296.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over48c296$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.928537.6%32 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over48c286.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9663541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under43c274$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8632139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over53c263$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5737149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed Over51c258.82$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8211149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked Over72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7020444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over50c246$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12330236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over52c231$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1228651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over48c215.44$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11238841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over59c212.65$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.965879.3%46 W · 12 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3347447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68b5…5952backed Over49c204.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.174761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked Over48c204.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.171942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over70c200.02$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2126653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008348.2%40 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013245.5%60 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3893…8afbbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009737.1%36 W · 61 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10415648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10427744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3537…3b51backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985360.4%32 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7061…e75ebacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0816254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Over51c192.25$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.229757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c56…978fbacked Over57c180.81$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+103.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over51c180.59$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4911661.2%71 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.