TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Spirit, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit33c30,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.9676058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x92ee…90e6backed Team Falcons67c22,017$14,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,265.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit34c20,078$6,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,748.135,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Spirit34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.9710935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit34c9,870$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3142,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed Team Falcons66c9,300$6,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Team Falcons66c9,023$5,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.6865546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3adf…2380backed Team Falcons69c7,866$5,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.111369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Team Falcons66c7,600$5,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spirit34c7,122$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.0248948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons65c5,506$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.039855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed Spirit35c5,157$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.1514749.7%73 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e9…3614backed Team Falcons65c4,719$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Team Falcons66c4,288$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.7861948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Team Falcons66c3,251$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.4627753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Spirit30c3,091$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.2271645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spirit33c3,029$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5745639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spirit34c2,674$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85039157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Spirit33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9818254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Team Falcons66c2,400$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8162462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Spirit34c2,353$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Team Falcons67c2,285$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.1221545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Spirit33c2,197$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.7338841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Team Falcons66c2,188$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.7718848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Spirit35c2,114$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74019546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Falcons66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9929449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons68c1,861$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.271,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Team Falcons66c1,752$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.6621351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons67c1,580$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.391,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Team Falcons66c1,550$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.995345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Team Falcons66c1,533$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.87653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Spirit33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49514950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed Team Falcons66c1,496$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.712744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Team Falcons67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.542850%14 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit33c1,491$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.212,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Falcons67c1,426$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.3463541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Spirit32c1,426$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.377040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Team Falcons67c1,292$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.8517948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bc…e09bbacked Team Falcons66c1,283$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Falcons67c1,282$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.0935745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons67c1,194$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0350050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Team Falcons68c1,154$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.5814042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons67c1,111$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.4817737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Falcons66c1,080$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1111151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Team Falcons65c1,077$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9213738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Team Falcons66c1,061$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.225242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Team Falcons68c1,033$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2641069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Team Falcons66c903.99$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.362147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Team Falcons66c899.91$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.978540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons68c878$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Spirit6c800.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0335054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Team Falcons67c775$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.754235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Team Falcons67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2722460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf120…3ae6backed Spirit17c745.76$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Falcons69c627.2$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2144343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b5…67b4backed Team Falcons67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Team Falcons68c589$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4832357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf381…8d0dbacked Spirit34c567.59$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.981250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Falcons66c562.12$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1254543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Team Falcons66c536.6$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1149941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Team Falcons71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1455944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Spirit34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17043640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d24…cf3fbacked Team Falcons67c487.58$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.91752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons66c448.48$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4832542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons68c430.46$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.31,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Spirit34c422$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4838954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Team Falcons67c394.03$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0311661.2%71 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Team Falcons73c390.34$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6433448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Spirit35c350.35$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12259049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Team Falcons72c344.56$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8189248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…8459backed Team Falcons67c333.16$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Team Falcons67c306.15$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0311349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Spirit45c302.2$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.635653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Spirit34c300.05$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.978348.2%40 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Falcons68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9647165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Spirit35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057337%27 W · 46 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Falcons68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0291945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf06…8758backed Team Falcons67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.518973%65 W · 24 L+14.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xce60…f989backed Spirit34c294.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed Spirit34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014653.4%78 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041e…bc83backed Spirit34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006858.8%40 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Spirit34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d92…1e20backed Team Falcons67c294$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.02560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Spirit32c288.66$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9121460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb9…2246backed Spirit28c277.89$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.811931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Falcons67c270.47$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4748566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons66c263.35$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.82,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Spirit33c262.36$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.587941.8%33 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Spirit23c257.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.43944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Team Falcons68c240.37$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9220248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Spirit34c220$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.830247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons66c202.58$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.881,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Spirit33c202.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6450051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Spirit34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6826650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Spirit33c189.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.031,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Team Falcons67c156$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.488958.4%52 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Falcons67c152.83$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4327744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Team Falcons66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Team Falcons66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5210847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.