TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spiritof Team Falcons, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,549 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit71c5,672$4,027 inWon+$1,645.195,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Team Falcons31c1,867$578 inLost-$5789144%40 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons26c1,593$414 inLost-$414.1447347.1%223 W · 250 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons30c1,440$428 inLost-$427.5985946.1%396 W · 463 L-1.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Team Falcons29c861.93$248 inLost-$248.2622045.5%100 W · 120 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spirit71c846.9$601 inWon+$246.142,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e4c…06f8backed Team Falcons32c517.99$164 inLost-$164.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Team Falcons33c500$165 inLost-$16589248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons30c347.29$104 inLost-$104.1949245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed Team Falcons29c229.59$67 inLost-$66.585944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons27c200$54 inLost-$541,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Falcons28c178.27$50 inLost-$5054743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit70c152.26$106 inWon+$46.312,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Spirit68c130.52$89 inWon+$41.7722647.3%107 W · 119 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked Team Falcons31c125.84$39 inLost-$39.014240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Team Falcons29c124.44$36 inLost-$36.0910152.5%53 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Spirit71c108$77 inWon+$30.9559049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Falcons25c107.9$27 inLost-$26.9854148.6%263 W · 278 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3a…bdffbacked Team Falcons31c96.77$30 inLost-$303151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Spirit71c70.42$50 inWon+$20.549149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Spirit69c46.38$32 inWon+$14.231,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a6…6454backed Spirit74c15.63$12 inWon+$4.061172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.