CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f8e4479e71187103bcd82152e12ff0b723bdca71ce093b537e919270b850dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 50c | 23,815$11,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,914.62 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Over | 45c | 6,835$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.15 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…85dbbacked Over | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Over | 54c | 5,259$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.13 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 44c | 5,171$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.58 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 46c | 4,026$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.45 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Over | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Over | 58c | 2,287$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.31 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 2,176$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.28 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Under | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 56c | 594.64$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.64 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…78c2backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 56c | 485.71$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 36c | 462.32$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…8e4bbacked Over | 54c | 452.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 62c | 449.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Over | 56c | 319.73$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…5dabbacked Over | 62c | 315.13$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 54c | 299.26$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.66 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Under | 49c | 293.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…4a41backed Over | 56c | 281.39$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…9193backed Over | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked Over | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…03d4backed Under | 45c | 237.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Over | 53c | 228.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 54c | 227.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Over | 56c | 211.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 46c | 199.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…3c99backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…0fc7backed Over | 54c | 178.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a4…7e3bbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed Over | 56c | 175.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a61…02d2backed Over | 54c | 158.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Under | 49c | 133.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…7889backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Over | 54c | 96.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2c…5e16backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Under | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…29d1backed Over | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…ed8bbacked Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…8638backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…1919backed Over | 56c | 56.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Over | 50c | 56.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Under | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…f7b1backed Over | 53c | 50.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 49c | 48.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Under | 49c | 48.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…27f3backed Under | 42c | 45.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…3a9fbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d7cdbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…fed5backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…99bfbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +144%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0237…9933backed Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 45c | 24.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…940dbacked Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…91b4backed Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…df86backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…f366backed Over | 54c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.