Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82a0c86034f9b30708b627d7da7a97cb96e26980b2c0f4fa642ed241e08dd93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 15,000$7,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,550 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Top Esports | 50c | 14,919$7,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,502.91 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 6,866$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.42 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Top Esports | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Top Esports | 50c | 3,519$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.5 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Top Esports | 51c | 3,400$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…2b1dbacked Top Esports | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 2,547$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.35 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed Top Esports | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Top Esports | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked Top Esports | 50c | 1,959$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked Top Esports | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 1,393$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.32 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Top Esports | 20c | 971.68$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.12 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Top Esports | 49c | 906.41$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.14 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 767$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.5 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e947backed Top Esports | 49c | 610.92$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.35 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…5456backed Top Esports | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Top Esports | 46c | 496.77$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…0558backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 379.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Top Esports | 12c | 352.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 318.18$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 311.62$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 290.6$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 245$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Top Esports | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Top Esports | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Top Esports | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8e…e4a3backed Top Esports | 51c | 190.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -70%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 178.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Top Esports | 28c | 175.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 158.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4514…a154backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…6a99backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Top Esports | 50c | 108.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Top Esports | 37c | 102.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Top Esports | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 156 | 73.1%114 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Top Esports | 51c | 89.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…bf7abacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 58.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Top Esports | 37c | 53.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…9c83backed Top Esports | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 47.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Top Esports | 50c | 43.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…6d30backed Top Esports | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…2c9bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 35.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x00bd…d945backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 24.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 21.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…2907backed Top Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…f539backed Top Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.