Lol · resolved market
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa5bed5083f99c3180dcea60dad49f3d1b4a394d0c1b50b6a5ba49f0c1a7904b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Top Esports, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $701,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $821,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Top Esports | 37c | 35,852$13,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,311.89 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 35,000$22,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,949.99 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…b48cbacked Top Esports | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 19,411$11,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,301.15 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Top Esports | 47c | 15,454$7,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,214.23 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec8…3a77backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 14,607$10,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.1 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 11,743$8,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.67 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…6d5ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 11,650$6,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,676.98 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Top Esports | 31c | 11,336$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.11 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Top Esports | 47c | 11,270$5,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,242.56 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Top Esports | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Top Esports | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…70f2backed Top Esports | 22c | 10,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.98 | 485 | 33.6%163 W · 322 L | +23.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Top Esports | 48c | 9,635$4,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,627.97 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 8,717$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.79 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Top Esports | 40c | 8,051$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.4 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Top Esports | 49c | 8,028$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Top Esports | 38c | 8,000$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 7,485$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.35 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Top Esports | 38c | 6,666$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.06 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 6,514$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.96 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 6,490$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.98 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Top Esports | 38c | 6,278$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.91 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Top Esports | 50c | 6,219$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.81 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 5,717$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 5,418$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.32 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 5,197$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.4 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 5,124$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Top Esports | 53c | 5,039$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.74 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…f649backed Top Esports | 40c | 5,000$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.03 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Top Esports | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 189 | 53.4%101 W · 88 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…feb5backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 4,708$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.7 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 4,605$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.64 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Top Esports | 41c | 4,157$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 4,040$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.94 | 140 | 56.4%79 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Top Esports | 39c | 4,035$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.68 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked Top Esports | 50c | 4,000$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.5 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed Top Esports | 23c | 4,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.88 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…3ba9backed Top Esports | 40c | 3,961$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 338 | 45.3%153 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Top Esports | 57c | 3,939$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Top Esports | 44c | 3,776$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.01 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 3,769$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.71 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97b…87dcbacked Top Esports | 50c | 3,500$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.65 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Top Esports | 37c | 3,428$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.5 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 3,230$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.53 | 184 | 67.9%125 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Top Esports | 41c | 3,220$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.2 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Top Esports | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 2,958$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.64 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 2,906$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.66 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…068abacked Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 2,901$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.51 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 2,751$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.2 | 520 | 65.4%340 W · 180 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…12e2backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 2,734$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.17 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +23.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Top Esports | 44c | 2,645$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.71 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Top Esports | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Top Esports | 38c | 2,250$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Top Esports | 48c | 2,242$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.82 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…dec9backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 2,234$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.97 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 2,173$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.16 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 2,146$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.12 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723b…7bbebacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…b17dbacked Top Esports | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 1,999$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.04 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Top Esports | 16c | 1,959$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 243 | 26.7%65 W · 178 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Top Esports | 37c | 1,953$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.61 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Top Esports | 48c | 1,861$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.9 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Top Esports | 2c | 1,858$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 1,858$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.04 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…36c6backed Top Esports | 35c | 1,755$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.69 | 121 | 19.8%24 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Top Esports | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…bd92backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 1,730$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…15f9backed Top Esports | 12c | 1,700$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 353 | 53.5%189 W · 164 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Top Esports | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 1,496$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.77 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 1,449$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.42 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…c45dbacked Top Esports | 39c | 1,400$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.2 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Top Esports | 4c | 1,350$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…e214backed Top Esports | 55c | 1,270$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 1,213$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.2 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Top Esports | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Top Esports | 14c | 1,199$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Top Esports | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 1,150$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.59 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 1,128$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.62 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…0716backed Top Esports | 27c | 1,118$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…71d0backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 1,111$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 1,107$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.84 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Top Esports | 40c | 1,075$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.9 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Top Esports | 42c | 1,066$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.72 | 588 | 50.5%297 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…e1debacked Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 1,055$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Top Esports | 42c | 1,019$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.79 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked Top Esports | 39c | 1,008$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.3 | 209 | 46.4%97 W · 112 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Top Esports | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Top Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.