TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab93…b17d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT6050%30 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+60%+$369.18
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$1,485
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.37
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2,200
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,550
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$459.99
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,899Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$2,001
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,990
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.99
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.49
Spread: England (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.96
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,540
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,199.99
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$809.98
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.99
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$51.95
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,986
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$975
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,050
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$380
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$407.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$659.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$985.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+149.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$1,206.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$829.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,580
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.