Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d9a5a38a8f04d85cffc79003a57070e0c6d848d349e0978457735fdc01b1cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 28c | 26,072$7,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,324.64 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 19c | 14,856$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.6 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed No | 52c | 8,475$4,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.77 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 15c | 7,583$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.93 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 6c | 4,477$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.47 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 14c | 3,181$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 33c | 3,159$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.52 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 77c | 2,690$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.61 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 76c | 2,585$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.82 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 24c | 2,510$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.2 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…ccf4backed Yes | 7c | 2,328$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 71c | 2,211$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 25c | 2,146$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.94 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…b17dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Yes | 10c | 1,961$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.34 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,900$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 1,761$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 6c | 1,678$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…8d57backed Yes | 38c | 1,582$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 34c | 1,561$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.71 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…c46cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,481$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…a1e2backed Yes | 9c | 1,469$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…1856backed Yes | 41c | 1,345$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 6c | 1,211$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed Yes | 62c | 1,210$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.33 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 10c | 1,157$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 18c | 1,089$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.84 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0402…4e41backed Yes | 60c | 1,050$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 49c | 694.75$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.46 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 6c | 687.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 7c | 658.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…d03bbacked Yes | 7c | 641.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde65…5218backed Yes | 12c | 626.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 617.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc4…b4f2backed Yes | 10c | 590.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 31c | 560.42$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 21c | 553.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 24c | 513.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.86 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 8c | 497.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…ac2bbacked Yes | 6c | 491.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…85debacked Yes | 19c | 489.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Yes | 19c | 489.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…d034backed No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ff…3fcdbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683c…7392backed Yes | 9c | 450$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…d9cebacked Yes | 56c | 450$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 10c | 389.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…a1e2backed Yes | 16c | 298.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…30b4backed Yes | 54c | 280.11$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 29c | 250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…087cbacked Yes | 11c | 246.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…308fbacked Yes | 11c | 224.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a1bebacked No | 66c | 221.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 19c | 216.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…2f7ebacked Yes | 47c | 214.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 7c | 214.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…1b17backed Yes | 35c | 198.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed No | 73c | 196.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 8c | 181.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…7654backed Yes | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 13c | 157.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…d971backed Yes | 9c | 156.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…0b19backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 63c | 147.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 58c | 140.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 7c | 139.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…9bb4backed Yes | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…19cfbacked Yes | 28c | 129.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…acf4backed No | 55c | 122.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…e4edbacked Yes | 23c | 113.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13ef…5691backed No | 57c | 101.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…026dbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…f410backed Yes | 20c | 99.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…0699backed Yes | 54c | 97.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed Yes | 67c | 97.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…11d4backed No | 42c | 94.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Yes | 26c | 92.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Yes | 27c | 88.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…b959backed Yes | 12c | 88.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd2…93cfbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1768…89e4backed No | 58c | 86.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed No | 60c | 82.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…1ac2backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…df2bbacked Yes | 36c | 78.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Yes | 19c | 78.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…97cebacked No | 75c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed No | 55c | 73.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…0adbbacked Yes | 14c | 72.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…8362backed No | 40c | 72.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked No | 39c | 72.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…4ae2backed No | 73c | 71.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…cf01backed No | 49c | 70.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 22-28?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 22-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.