Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e2688d224c0ce29c93eb76312d4b1481114cb204b06d9f8b10ed95c9d8b2f09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 5c | 20,439$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.81 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab7…ad23backed Yes | 40c | 7,740$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 46c | 6,357$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.81 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 40c | 4,635$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.77 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 63c | 2,780$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 42c | 2,270$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.26 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…ce8dbacked Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 18c | 1,904$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.33 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 75c | 1,874$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.45 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…28d9backed No | 62c | 1,601$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked No | 16c | 1,237$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 31c | 1,090$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.36 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5a…df23backed Yes | 43c | 1,020$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…6ef3backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 60c | 976.91$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.61 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 71c | 922$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed No | 6c | 898.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 71c | 800$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…b819backed Yes | 29c | 721.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +73%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 66c | 703.16$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.05 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 63c | 588.98$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.79 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Yes | 35c | 576.71$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.11 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 32c | 550.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed No | 68c | 544.12$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…edacbacked Yes | 40c | 500.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…1856backed Yes | 36c | 487.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 70c | 475.71$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Yes | 43c | 378.53$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked No | 71c | 352.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 11c | 336.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.36 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 48c | 299.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…85debacked Yes | 35c | 290.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 75c | 277.65$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 39c | 252.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…b39bbacked Yes | 20c | 247.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…e8debacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed No | 38c | 172.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…ac29backed No | 78c | 167.23$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…8d57backed Yes | 29c | 153.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…869bbacked Yes | 41c | 145.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed No | 75c | 133.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 67c | 124.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcb…0383backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a1…3201backed Yes | 40c | 117.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 34c | 103.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…eeacbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…0591backed Yes | 40c | 98.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…0521backed No | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfef…b029backed Yes | 16c | 73.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +511.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…384ebacked Yes | 38c | 72.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…df2bbacked Yes | 79c | 71.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ed…fbddbacked No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 40c | 62.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…0c21backed Yes | 33c | 60.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…b7b4backed Yes | 34c | 59.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…11d4backed No | 53c | 56.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd5…aab9backed No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…fc89backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…cb40backed Yes | 40c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…50eabacked Yes | 40c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 62c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…1ecfbacked Yes | 44c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…b328backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…7343backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe65…cd92backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c9…567fbacked Yes | 70c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…4ae2backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 22-28?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 22-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.