TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x167e…28d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.25
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$229.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$187.64
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,490.44
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$139.62
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+210.3%+$583.61
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33%+$379.84
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.28
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,918.03
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,592Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,530.75
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$490
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$279.74
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,445.27
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,503.78
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,072Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$584.29
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$299.46
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,721Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$828.64
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$612.76
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$804.09
Colombia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,827Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,206.72
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$1,908.19
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$480.98
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$214.32
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.21
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.81
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29%+$185.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.