Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs GIANTX GC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c7fe73833500f3f6b6f1b584ae21439ec9237cba5a275dd6787e31c98b9ac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUS Sakuraof FOKUS Sakura, GIANTX GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed GIANTX GC | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed FOKUS Sakura | 69c | 487$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…28d9backed GIANTX GC | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed GIANTX GC | 43c | 311$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…38ffbacked FOKUS Sakura | 64c | 251.82$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS Sakura | 64c | 185.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed FOKUS Sakura | 71c | 155.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS Sakura | 62c | 125$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked FOKUS Sakura | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed GIANTX GC | 42c | 98.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed GIANTX GC | 37c | 87.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed GIANTX GC | 45c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…d480backed GIANTX GC | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed FOKUS Sakura | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FOKUS Sakura | 67c | 71.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked FOKUS Sakura | 68c | 70.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…bff4backed FOKUS Sakura | 66c | 60.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…588dbacked GIANTX GC | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked GIANTX GC | 34c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 79c | 47.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffb9…2858backed GIANTX GC | 32c | 45.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed GIANTX GC | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked FOKUS Sakura | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9122…50e6backed FOKUS Sakura | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs GIANTX GC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsFOKUS Sakura won
- Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs GIANTX GC - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.