TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof Global Esports, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$347,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,785 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed XLG Gaming44c93,000$41,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,938.9652155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Global Esports70c43,912$30,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,707.033043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Global Esports55c35,023$19,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,26154751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8921…a263backed Global Esports70c23,000$16,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,075.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Global Esports59c21,832$12,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,829.2319046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Global Esports58c19,471$11,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,302.4726050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked XLG Gaming30c10,691$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,528.8668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed XLG Gaming32c9,548$3,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,518.5953159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked XLG Gaming27c9,076$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,601.3965559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x108d…b85dbacked XLG Gaming36c8,888$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,688.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Global Esports57c8,808$4,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,982.337847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked XLG Gaming43c7,283$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,172.1278562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Global Esports76c7,214$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,459.511154.5%6 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick74cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed Global Esports64c5,800$3,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+67.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Global Esports63c5,300$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.74247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Global Esports64c5,053$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,233.655444.4%24 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Global Esports53c4,330$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.374845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5e…f9c4backed XLG Gaming44c3,409$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.093053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed XLG Gaming44c3,377$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.846746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167e…28d9backed XLG Gaming79c3,368$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Global Esports38c3,342$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.3688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked XLG Gaming41c3,045$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.769340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b9…e9d1backed Global Esports33c3,028$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Global Esports56c2,846$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58014534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0111…1071backed Global Esports56c2,334$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Global Esports57c2,250$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.510455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed XLG Gaming43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14039042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2363…a20dbacked XLG Gaming41c1,951$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.342755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked XLG Gaming43c1,756$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.9233153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked XLG Gaming38c1,685$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.6253355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming44c1,573$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.661,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed XLG Gaming39c1,540$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.946259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed XLG Gaming44c1,374$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.1356357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Global Esports68c1,361$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.212842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Global Esports55c1,246$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.331,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed XLG Gaming38c1,210$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.910842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked XLG Gaming38c1,148$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.9431046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5efd…a583backed XLG Gaming30c1,020$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+99.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked XLG Gaming31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Global Esports53c984.14$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.1660022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked XLG Gaming43c968.5$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.046048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Global Esports64c933.46$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.411020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53d6…bdd7backed XLG Gaming57c805.55$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed XLG Gaming38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4968640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed XLG Gaming35c766$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed XLG Gaming43c749.98$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9922449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Global Esports57c731.97$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.228347%39 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Global Esports62c722.1$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.3742540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed XLG Gaming27c719.73$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.6529151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked XLG Gaming41c698.83$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.794361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Global Esports59c696.63$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5712147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Global Esports57c673.67$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.992347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked XLG Gaming44c666.65$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.47737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked XLG Gaming43c650$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.54544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed XLG Gaming42c587.18$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.3374642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed XLG Gaming43c569.77$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.7713743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed XLG Gaming40c530.75$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.836373%46 W · 17 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming35c527.1$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4393049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed XLG Gaming43c517.88$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.883836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed XLG Gaming38c510.05$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.234736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Global Esports62c510.05$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.232142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Global Esports64c508$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.128348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Global Esports65c505.3$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4515160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Global Esports57c499.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed Global Esports55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.992025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid+42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed XLG Gaming35c499.98$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.491560%9 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed Global Esports55c473.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.693745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Global Esports64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked XLG Gaming35c460.24$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.158951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed XLG Gaming37c459.86$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.932141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed Global Esports65c441$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.651127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Global Esports54c412.58$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0351749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f70…123dbacked XLG Gaming35c350$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed XLG Gaming54c343.93$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.377254.2%39 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed XLG Gaming45c337.68$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.536755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Global Esports56c332.7$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.313151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Global Esports64c320.02$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4737545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbdd…9ba3backed Global Esports63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Global Esports57c312.44$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.71931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked XLG Gaming46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.127356.2%41 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Global Esports60c295.26$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5727947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed XLG Gaming34c291.18$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.183231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Global Esports73c286.32$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9528541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Global Esports67c284.9$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.885248.1%25 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed XLG Gaming48c264$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2822018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed XLG Gaming45c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.414750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8edb…d34dbacked XLG Gaming42c259.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.791070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+79.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed XLG Gaming40c257.74$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7520755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked Global Esports61c256$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.162835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked XLG Gaming39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.536648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Global Esports58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14519656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed XLG Gaming43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.52556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed XLG Gaming44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14019439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed Global Esports66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651711.8%2 W · 15 L-6.0wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xe2fc…53cbbacked XLG Gaming41c246.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Global Esports62c238.71$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b53…b48ebacked Global Esports60c237.53$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…150ebacked XLG Gaming42c236.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Global Esports55c235.64$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1293545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked XLG Gaming43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5610951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.