Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4430a53ba901591a917bbf9c1fecc1b2a5f59ae2d20a32b607f203fc293eb69d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof Global Esports, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Global Esports | 41c | 7,006$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.48 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked XLG Gaming | 56c | 6,770$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.7 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed XLG Gaming | 65c | 6,194$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed XLG Gaming | 35c | 5,050$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.49 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed Global Esports | 44c | 2,248$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Global Esports | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 1,345$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.16 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Global Esports | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.04 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 1,114$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Global Esports | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Global Esports | 44c | 1,062$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.5 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 986.91$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.46 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Global Esports | 44c | 913.2$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.81 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…ba87backed Global Esports | 10c | 707.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Global Esports | 44c | 690$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 648.87$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Global Esports | 42c | 628.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.81 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 612.52$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…3f96backed Global Esports | 41c | 586$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 583.21$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked XLG Gaming | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Global Esports | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…1071backed Global Esports | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 336.11$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Global Esports | 16c | 293.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Global Esports | 42c | 254.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Global Esports | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Global Esports | 42c | 247.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked XLG Gaming | 59c | 219.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Global Esports | 44c | 218.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 215.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fc…53cbbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 215.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Global Esports | 67c | 205.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Global Esports | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Global Esports | 42c | 138.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Global Esports | 36c | 120.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Global Esports | 43c | 115.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Global Esports | 44c | 103.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Global Esports | 43c | 102.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Global Esports | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Global Esports | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Global Esports | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Global Esports | 44c | 91.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Global Esports | 41c | 50.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f98…e226backed Global Esports | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +70%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked Global Esports | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked XLG Gaming | 42c | 44.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Global Esports | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…55f2backed Global Esports | 43c | 27.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…8ce8backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 20.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…91abbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)Global Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)XLG Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.