Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19a92a18787a6f287f03caee12e17bf34b4fe5553e874b81d9879fb3aedac04c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 49c | 35,054$17,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,965.04 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 18,855$9,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,650.14 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 4,841$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.53 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…dcbebacked Under | 51c | 3,589$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5efd…a583backed Under | 51c | 2,051$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 54c | 143.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 51c | 103.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 51c | 102.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 47c | 65.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 51c | 47.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…523bbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…17c7backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)Global Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)XLG Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)XLG Gaming won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.