TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$385,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$486,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67ac…edf1backed T154c43,523$23,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,093.2735448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Liquid43c36,403$15,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,681.881,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid45c29,147$13,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,047.371,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Liquid47c27,236$12,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,706.5153750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Liquid46c24,678$11,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,351.8451146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed T157c24,000$13,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,32089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked T155c18,182$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,181.828951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T154c15,000$8,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,907.6291854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked T155c13,755$7,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,189.761931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Liquid47c12,300$5,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,757.9929443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Team Liquid44c8,822$3,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,881.941439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Liquid43c8,474$3,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,643.7690348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T157c7,881$4,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.7459558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T158c7,584$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.221,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Team Liquid44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.929853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Liquid44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.9949940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid47c5,226$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.4159554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Team Liquid45c5,114$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.3714553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked T156c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20026856%150 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team Liquid45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed T157c4,572$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.946556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed T153c4,442$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.941,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Team Liquid45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Team Liquid42c4,000$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.9632457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Team Liquid44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32011245.5%51 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed T156c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3205851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Team Liquid45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35010449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed T156c2,929$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.6221448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Liquid46c2,887$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.7597254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Team Liquid27c2,863$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.0223948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd006…2247backed T156c2,631$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Team Liquid2c2,614$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2994134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T156c2,531$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.062,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed T153c2,436$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.5639447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed T155c2,336$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.3621939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed T155c2,300$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0355343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Team Liquid44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Team Liquid43c2,250$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96011249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked T159c2,217$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.5538462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed T157c2,095$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T156c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.0247455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked T155c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002548%12 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c6…4366backed T155c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9005137.3%19 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed T156c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9946257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed T154c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9714637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed T154c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.973,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Liquid36c2,000$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.1131137.6%117 W · 194 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed T165c1,996$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.495366%35 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed T155c1,967$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.376553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Team Liquid44c1,932$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85013046.2%60 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked T154c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8530554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Team Liquid44c1,797$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.8119336.3%70 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed T154c1,793$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.58949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Team Liquid48c1,646$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.820649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Team Liquid44c1,641$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.9512341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed Team Liquid46c1,518$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.356752.2%35 W · 32 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9283…4277backed T167c1,502$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.674663%29 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked Team Liquid47c1,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9912653.2%67 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed T153c1,478$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.51,14945.2%519 W · 630 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed T156c1,461$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.8811567.8%78 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked T156c1,443$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.9382161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked T156c1,413$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.834052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ce…98ecbacked T169c1,354$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked T155c1,264$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.7138850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Team Liquid46c1,250$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57513658.8%80 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked T164c1,217$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.4728965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3e…3513backed Team Liquid46c1,065$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Team Liquid47c1,063$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010049%49 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked T156c1,039$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.1642751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked T154c1,016$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.136647%31 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c65…4f24backed T155c1,000$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.977657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed T164c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36014562.1%90 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167e…28d9backed Team Liquid47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Liquid36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36034849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed T156c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44025345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed T176c993.56$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked T151c971.2$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.894746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed T157c957.94$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9428250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Team Liquid42c946.2$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40117933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked T155c930.61$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.4580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+184.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f34…b8f2backed Team Liquid42c910.26$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.253342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9cd…3499backed T155c908.49$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.825450%27 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…ef1dbacked Team Liquid37c903.21$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.193943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed T153c899.98$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.992055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed T170c897.25$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.188538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T154c887.95$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.461,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed T155c885.45$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.4517947.5%85 W · 94 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed T156c881.93$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T155c849.92$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.961,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13b…701ebacked T154c833.33$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.336453.1%34 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Team Liquid54c798.12$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2310252%53 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacc8…eb83backed T163c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.653455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Team Liquid7c787$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.210150.5%51 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a1…504cbacked Team Liquid57c774.56$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4442828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c16…5eaabacked T164c763.1$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.282536%9 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09a6…73c7backed T154c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.743969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe341…354dbacked Team Liquid46c726.63$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.254746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Team Liquid19c724.18$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5932555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Team Liquid47c693$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7111344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.