Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eff5f08935f0c250abdb4934f4ccdaefecce0bfb4f92da3d433cc421785c828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 12c | 10,474$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.7 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Liquid | 15c | 6,023$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.89 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Liquid | 15c | 6,012$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.63 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Liquid | 12c | 5,030$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.34 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Liquid | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Liquid | 16c | 3,127$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 2,723$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.34 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid | 14c | 1,849$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.83 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Liquid | 17c | 1,599$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.9 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Team Liquid | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Team Liquid | 15c | 1,369$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Team Liquid | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Liquid | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Team Liquid | 13c | 711.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Liquid | 15c | 706.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Team Liquid | 16c | 563.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Team Liquid | 14c | 499.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Liquid | 15c | 457.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Team Liquid | 15c | 440$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…58dcbacked Team Liquid | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 14c | 341.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Team Liquid | 16c | 310.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Team Liquid | 14c | 302.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Team Liquid | 12c | 270.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Team Liquid | 15c | 266.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Team Liquid | 13c | 257.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed Team Liquid | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Team Liquid | 14c | 233.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 202$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Team Liquid | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Liquid | 15c | 178.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Team Liquid | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 117.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Team Liquid | 13c | 108.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Team Liquid | 14c | 103.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…ba44backed Team Liquid | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Liquid | 15c | 86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Team Liquid | 28c | 53.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…1b89backed T1 | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…1506backed T1 | 79c | 33.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 398 | 63.6%253 W · 145 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked T1 | 79c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.