TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,024 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb29f…45b5backed Under56c48,393$27,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,282.546556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over44c40,002$17,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,600.551,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c12,960$5,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,702.591,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Under56c11,341$6,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990.044231%13 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Over45c10,851$4,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,868.4222355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Under55c8,826$4,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,971.6941439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Over42c7,304$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,098.7421144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over46c7,272$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.071,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.159853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under54c6,596$3,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.2635448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed Over44c4,420$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.798951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Under50c3,647$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.286235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under56c2,928$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.3221844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over46c2,535$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.9623948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Over45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12515147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under54c2,275$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.951,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under59c1,838$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.8810547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over48c1,832$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.8114732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Under56c1,799$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.327460.8%45 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8579…185fbacked Under55c1,790$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.119046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over45c1,739$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.4412341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Under56c1,590$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.6917838.8%69 W · 109 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Over34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102532%8 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Under56c1,500$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.997744.2%34 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Under58c1,431$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.8117947.5%85 W · 94 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over42c1,336$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.981,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Under61c1,315$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.7429758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under56c1,246$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.4416346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Under55c1,150$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.521154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Under64c1,094$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1527745.8%127 W · 150 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Over44c1,084$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6162451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f1…9087backed Under77c1,058$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-78.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Under52c1,004$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48167553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47047047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Under55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9925345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Over44c890.74$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.477839.7%31 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Under57c799.98$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.9930160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e8…69fcbacked Over21c785.09$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under80c700$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14032555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Over43c690.5$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.911,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Over43c599.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2584953.1%26 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd016…6114backed Over31c577.78$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.786233.9%21 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked Over45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019745.2%89 W · 108 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4519052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Over46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc8…eb83backed Under65c530.56$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.563455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Under56c517.86$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8612340.7%50 W · 73 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under55c503.52$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.581,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over44c500.1$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0424643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.082,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked Under55c456.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0128942.9%124 W · 165 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over47c455.88$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.261,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over45c408$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.625342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Under56c405.11$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.645552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Under55c369.98$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over43c360.79$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1448951.5%252 W · 237 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under55c345$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2511938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca51…0f4abacked Over36c343.89$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9d…0bffbacked Over45c330.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022532.4%73 W · 152 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Over42c315.34$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.454632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under37c314.25$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2546452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over45c309.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Under56c309$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9620644.7%92 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8b…646dbacked Over35c305.4$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.791838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f11…53b0backed Over26c300$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-88.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf202…9ea8backed Under64c296.84$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8412869.5%89 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Over44c277.27$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229047.8%43 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd1…b849backed Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Under57c242.55$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.37847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Under66c242.39$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.396048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9044…dcedbacked Under73c240$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.43243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb8…20f6backed Under56c239.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.272347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed Over45c219.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023041.7%96 W · 134 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under49c217.8$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.392,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Over42c215.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8663426%165 W · 469 L-90.0wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x90e7…ac8ebacked Under56c214.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5414442.4%61 W · 83 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over45c213.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1763944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6209…a62ebacked Under78c211.18$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.46366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d50…e29fbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810641.5%44 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Over41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9914150.4%71 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under55c199.97$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9960243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under55c199.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.989244.6%41 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under56c195$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.938045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under56c194.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6624544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x565c…585abacked Under60c191.93$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.956857.4%39 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a5…a5bfbacked Under64c186.5$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Under55c182.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6453047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over29c181.27$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.141,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Under56c178.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.797642.1%32 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5715759.2%93 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a1…9077backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444639.1%18 W · 28 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over45c174.81$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2312843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Under56c174.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7326440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Over45c174.18$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3827356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Over45c173.25$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2716654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.