Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f9c0cffc685033bdfe2e913eb9bcc07e8a9e17d05f7c90d2faa635798c93e4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 36c | 2,358$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.37 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 65c | 975.88$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked Over | 54c | 733.14$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 48c | 572.97$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…d01cbacked Under | 46c | 490.44$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Over | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…f9cdbacked Over | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 52c | 310$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 48c | 299.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 52c | 258.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 228.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Over | 63c | 156.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 289 | 42.9%124 W · 165 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…b52dbacked Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 61c | 81.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 45c | 77.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Over | 65c | 70.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…bcb6backed Over | 59c | 63.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…a7bdbacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 39c | 43.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Over | 50c | 33.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 38c | 33.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 53c | 31.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…b342backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…585abacked Over | 64c | 30.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 63cpaid | +427.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Under | 49c | 24.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…9538backed Over | 69c | 21.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…4b3ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…b342backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.