TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7a1…504c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.86
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.16
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+181.3%+$741.12
Cincinnati Open: Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.31
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$279.13
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$322.82
Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.04
Canadian Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$65.85
Athens Open: Clara Tauson vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.08
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$655.75
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$120.84
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$352.7
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$394.95
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Huergo/Korpatsch vs Noskova/Sramkovabacked Huergo/Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$226
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
Quito: Samuel Heredia vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Samuel Heredia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.82
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$282.19
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.82
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$358.03
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.05
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.91
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$376
LoL: CCG Esports vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifierbacked Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$331.39
LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifierbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.05
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.61
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.56
LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$358.33
LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.4
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.38
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+426.9%+$570.41
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.06
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.71
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$395.83
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$159.36
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$798.89
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$316
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.55
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$651.52
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.54
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.62
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.32
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$325.33
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$397
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$267.77
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$66.75
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+192%+$236.12
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+102%+$452.97
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$353.81
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$264.13
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$363
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$486
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$217.98
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$288
All 25 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+73.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid+19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Seattle Stormbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$226.26
Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.17
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.