Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd32686639a196982a0d412fbc3e7300618cc7ad9d6625eb7b76336536861cdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a86…4998backed Blue Otter | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.99 | 183 | 30.1%55 W · 128 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Conviction | 69c | 3,614$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.19 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Blue Otter | 21c | 3,047$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.8 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Blue Otter | 29c | 2,540$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.74 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Conviction | 76c | 2,341$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.47 | 653 | 59.4%388 W · 265 L | +70.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Conviction | 69c | 1,890$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.97 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Conviction | 59c | 1,860$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.19 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +16.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Blue Otter | 31c | 1,708$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.53 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Conviction | 71c | 1,536$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.89 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Blue Otter | 27c | 1,480$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.26 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Conviction | 71c | 1,424$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.85 | 582 | 59.5%346 W · 236 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Conviction | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.32 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Blue Otter | 33c | 1,368$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.2 | 280 | 35%98 W · 182 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Blue Otter | 24c | 1,266$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Blue Otter | 34c | 1,152$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.97 | 1,053 | 23.4%246 W · 807 L | -76.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Conviction | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 834 | 60.8%507 W · 327 L | +44.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…504cbacked Blue Otter | 35c | 967.57$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.05 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Blue Otter | 20c | 868.69$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 1,207 | 40%483 W · 724 L | -63.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7fcabacked Blue Otter | 12c | 835.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Conviction | 75c | 821$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Conviction | 69c | 732.5$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.09 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Blue Otter | 46c | 721.55$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Blue Otter | 29c | 720.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Conviction | 76c | 708$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Blue Otter | 44c | 695.45$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed Conviction | 74c | 690.6$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.64 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Conviction | 63c | 635.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.26 | 708 | 57.1%404 W · 304 L | +41.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Blue Otter | 33c | 601.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Blue Otter | 13c | 600.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Blue Otter | 34c | 547.94$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Conviction | 69c | 526.18$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Otter | 32c | 499.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…3128backed Conviction | 69c | 495.87$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Blue Otter | 29c | 484.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Blue Otter | 24c | 463.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 364 | 60.2%219 W · 145 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Blue Otter | 30c | 443.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 1,206 | 43.5%525 W · 681 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Conviction | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Blue Otter | 21c | 430.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 554 | 28.7%159 W · 395 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…824cbacked Conviction | 71c | 391.18$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Blue Otter | 25c | 381.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Conviction | 76c | 375.06$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7933…4e10backed Conviction | 68c | 372.76$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Blue Otter | 25c | 351.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed Conviction | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Conviction | 75c | 321.48$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 1,536 | 43.8%672 W · 864 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Conviction | 68c | 310.46$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 698 | 57.4%401 W · 297 L | +37.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Blue Otter | 39c | 306.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…c0e1backed Blue Otter | 12c | 304.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Blue Otter | 14c | 292.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 286 | 38.1%109 W · 177 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Conviction | 69c | 280.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Conviction | 72c | 275.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blue Otter | 25c | 251.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Blue Otter | 33c | 249.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Blue Otter | 11c | 246.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Blue Otter | 28c | 243.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Blue Otter | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Conviction | 73c | 230.81$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 168 | 66.7%112 W · 56 L | +23.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…b838backed Conviction | 68c | 224$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Conviction | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Conviction | 68c | 213.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Conviction | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 388 | 51.3%199 W · 189 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed Blue Otter | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…04b4backed Conviction | 76c | 197.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…47eabacked Blue Otter | 12c | 196.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Blue Otter | 15c | 180.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Blue Otter | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Conviction | 66c | 174.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Conviction | 71c | 173.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 456 | 57.9%264 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Blue Otter | 8c | 172.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce1…f3aabacked Blue Otter | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Conviction | 56c | 170.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…a468backed Conviction | 72c | 168.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Blue Otter | 42c | 168.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 1,301 | 47.2%614 W · 687 L | -32.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Blue Otter | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 188 | 31.4%59 W · 129 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…70babacked Blue Otter | 36c | 153.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Blue Otter | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 41.7%106 W · 148 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Blue Otter | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Blue Otter | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Conviction | 69c | 150.74$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 389 | 63%245 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Blue Otter | 32c | 146.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Conviction | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Blue Otter | 17c | 143.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 1,054 | 47.2%497 W · 557 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Conviction | 72c | 137.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Conviction | 77c | 135.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 406 | 69.7%283 W · 123 L | +34.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Blue Otter | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Conviction | 68c | 126.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Blue Otter | 26c | 126.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Conviction | 78c | 125.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Conviction | 78c | 125.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 1,049 | 46%483 W · 566 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Conviction | 75c | 124.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 272 | 57%155 W · 117 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Conviction | 73c | 122.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Blue Otter | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…ee76backed Conviction | 74c | 117.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Blue Otter | 18c | 111.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 849 | 49.4%419 W · 430 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…873bbacked Conviction | 67c | 111$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Blue Otter | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 404 | 41.8%169 W · 235 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Conviction | 67c | 109.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Blue Otter | 10c | 104.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 135 | 23.7%32 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…9af4backed Blue Otter | 24c | 102.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Conviction | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifierthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Blue Otter (+1.5)Blue Otter won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerBlue Otter won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.