Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14eb2f899358e5038bf019ed9c433b927893c10825541831bf85d702000ca4c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Otterof Conviction, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b3…70adbacked Conviction | 4c | 11,757$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Blue Otter | 36c | 5,136$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.29 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Conviction | 78c | 4,312$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.82 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Blue Otter | 46c | 2,662$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.4 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Blue Otter | 19c | 2,019$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.68 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Blue Otter | 62c | 1,966$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.87 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Conviction | 77c | 1,301$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Blue Otter | 74c | 1,283$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.15 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Conviction | 79c | 1,261$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Blue Otter | 22c | 1,122$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.21 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Blue Otter | 38c | 1,086$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.33 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked Conviction | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Blue Otter | 43c | 980.79$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.05 | 230 | 53.9%124 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Conviction | 75c | 948.73$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.51 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Blue Otter | 39c | 931.38$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.95 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Conviction | 44c | 925.17$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.34 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Conviction | 76c | 921.58$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Conviction | 59c | 918.08$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.43 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Conviction | 57c | 869.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Conviction | 62c | 862.07$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.76 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked Blue Otter | 63c | 851.99$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.24 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Conviction | 43c | 690.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Blue Otter | 27c | 633.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.96 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Conviction | 38c | 567.69$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked Blue Otter | 68c | 558.75$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Blue Otter | 68c | 551.43$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.25 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Blue Otter | 22c | 528.87$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.52 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Conviction | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Blue Otter | 48c | 488.01$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.25 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Conviction | 47c | 487.75$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.4 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Conviction | 37c | 469.78$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…f4d1backed Conviction | 78c | 468.74$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 68cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Blue Otter | 46c | 435$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.8 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Conviction | 78c | 384.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +17.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Blue Otter | 40c | 382.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.53 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…f616backed Blue Otter | 64c | 374.4$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Conviction | 51c | 357.74$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.89 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Blue Otter | 46c | 332.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.81 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Blue Otter | 45c | 293.48$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Blue Otter | 48c | 287.59$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Blue Otter | 63c | 273.62$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Blue Otter | 64c | 270$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Conviction | 27c | 269.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Blue Otter | 35c | 262.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Conviction | 44c | 261.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7933…4e10backed Blue Otter | 28c | 257.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Conviction | 64c | 250$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…d11ebacked Blue Otter | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 155 | 41.3%64 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Conviction | 76c | 241.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.74 | 414 | 69.3%287 W · 127 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Blue Otter | 19c | 240$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Conviction | 76c | 230.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Blue Otter | 33c | 214.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Blue Otter | 54c | 205.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked Conviction | 43c | 201.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…f7ecbacked Conviction | 9c | 198.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 177 | 12.4%22 W · 155 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Conviction | 37c | 189.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Conviction | 33c | 175.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Conviction | 28c | 174.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Blue Otter | 52c | 171.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Conviction | 70c | 168.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Conviction | 60c | 162.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Conviction | 21c | 160.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Blue Otter | 43c | 157.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Blue Otter | 22c | 154.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Blue Otter | 29c | 150$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Conviction | 20c | 149.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Blue Otter | 30c | 142.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Blue Otter | 57c | 141.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce1…f3aabacked Conviction | 36c | 138.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…47eabacked Conviction | 19c | 130.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Conviction | 35c | 128.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Conviction | 17c | 126.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Conviction | 76c | 118.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Conviction | 78c | 100.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…776fbacked Conviction | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…2604backed Blue Otter | 64c | 98.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Blue Otter | 41c | 94.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…4fb7backed Conviction | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blue Otter | 63c | 89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Conviction | 39c | 89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Conviction | 25c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 100 | 17%17 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Conviction | 31c | 80.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Blue Otter | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…96f3backed Blue Otter | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Blue Otter | 28c | 78.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…6ec2backed Conviction | 31c | 77.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Blue Otter | 39c | 77.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Blue Otter | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Conviction | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Conviction | 33c | 71.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…6b12backed Blue Otter | 64c | 71.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Blue Otter | 43c | 64.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…bcacbacked Conviction | 64c | 63.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Blue Otter | 23c | 63.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Blue Otter | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…985dbacked Conviction | 76c | 59.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Conviction | 76c | 52.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Conviction | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…70babacked Blue Otter | 45c | 47.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…d45abacked Blue Otter | 44c | 45.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Blue Otter (+1.5)Blue Otter won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance QualifierConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.