WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ffd1139381e9494ea036d9119a85a747bcc9bb297c47dbe62e815899abe851
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof PortlandFire, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Seattle Storm | 1c | 17,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 11,287$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.31 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 10,931$5,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Seattle Storm | 26c | 10,354$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.2 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 8,669$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.63 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Storm | 20c | 7,028$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.07 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Storm | 63c | 6,349$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked PortlandFire | 49c | 6,139$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 68c | 5,179$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.05 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 5,050$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.65 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed PortlandFire | 38c | 4,852$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.47 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Storm | 62c | 3,957$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.38 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Storm | 0c | 2,917$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed PortlandFire | 67c | 2,812$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.66 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed PortlandFire | 38c | 2,753$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.63 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 50c | 2,751$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.62 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire | 37c | 2,661$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.28 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed PortlandFire | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed PortlandFire | 45c | 2,408$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.9 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed PortlandFire | 51c | 2,288$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed PortlandFire | 36c | 2,275$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.32 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Seattle Storm | 29c | 2,202$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.47 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire | 76c | 2,089$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.2 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…15ffbacked Seattle Storm | 62c | 1,936$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Storm | 31c | 1,876$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.8 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…2576backed PortlandFire | 67c | 1,472$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed PortlandFire | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed PortlandFire | 73c | 1,344$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Storm | 22c | 1,343$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.8 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked PortlandFire | 74c | 1,330$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…81b2backed Seattle Storm | 32c | 1,322$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed PortlandFire | 79c | 1,289$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,255$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.58 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked PortlandFire | 80c | 1,253$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.1 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Seattle Storm | 62c | 1,219$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.02 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Seattle Storm | 62c | 1,156$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.76 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,085$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.79 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire | 37c | 1,024$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.12 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Seattle Storm | 62c | 1,000$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Storm | 3c | 938$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 899.33$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Storm | 30c | 858.05$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.91 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked PortlandFire | 40c | 839.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.98 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Seattle Storm | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PortlandFire | 38c | 745.24$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.05 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…989abacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 706.15$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked PortlandFire | 42c | 654.37$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.53 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm | 62c | 647.5$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.45 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 625.44$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Seattle Storm | 63c | 622.43$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.13 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed PortlandFire | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Seattle Storm | 24c | 570.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Storm | 6c | 560.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed PortlandFire | 46c | 520.48$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.37 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked PortlandFire | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PortlandFire | 55c | 486.76$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.52 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Seattle Storm | 60c | 405.91$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Seattle Storm | 24c | 400.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…504cbacked PortlandFire | 42c | 388.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PortlandFire | 45c | 379.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.94 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 374.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked PortlandFire | 32c | 369.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Seattle Storm | 29c | 350.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed PortlandFire | 38c | 349$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.38 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 339.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Seattle Storm | 60c | 333.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed PortlandFire | 73c | 332.91$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Seattle Storm | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked PortlandFire | 71c | 299.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed PortlandFire | 74c | 298.33$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 286.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8a…9c2fbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 277.47$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed PortlandFire | 74c | 252.21$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked PortlandFire | 65c | 251.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed Seattle Storm | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Seattle Storm | 22c | 239.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed PortlandFire | 69c | 231.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 227.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Seattle Storm | 61c | 219.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Seattle Storm | 5c | 212.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…30b9backed Seattle Storm | 63c | 207.3$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed PortlandFire | 49c | 205$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed PortlandFire | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…88dbbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 202.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Seattle Storm | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed PortlandFire | 74c | 182.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Seattle Storm | 63c | 174.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Storm | 30c | 173.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 171.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Storm | 63c | 168.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Seattle Storm | 60c | 161.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Seattle Storm | 7c | 152$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked PortlandFire | 78c | 149.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 147.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Seattle Storm | 36c | 139.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Stormthis page
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 171.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-1.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-4.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.