WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf90131dba856efedcf45857442eeba8977aec56349714118c00ae5f633c99241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 5,206$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.39 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 44c | 2,354$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 41c | 808.27$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.83 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 547.53$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.18 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 50c | 464$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 51c | 367.63$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.72 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 59c | 202.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 53c | 199.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 54c | 102.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 86.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 72.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 42c | 57.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 46c | 43.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 49c | 39.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 38.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 45c | 30.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 42c | 30.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 46c | 27.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 59c | 25.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 47c | 23.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 53c | 19.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5this page
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle StormPortlandFire won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 171.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-1.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-4.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.