Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5f92385410ab388143b226e44bc97270f9f39dc3a3f76c19196b48394d37966

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cabo Verdeof Argentina, Cabo Verde
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,898,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,178,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,898,746 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Cabo Verde	79c	379,000$301,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77,711.28	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Cabo Verde	58c	300,000$174,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125,999.81	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Cabo Verde	59c	254,094$149,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104,178.63	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Cabo Verde	61c	243,713$148,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94,735.5	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Argentina	41c	184,716$76,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,452.43	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Argentina	41c	171,023$70,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,119.57	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Argentina	37c	157,178$57,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,983.22	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Argentina	42c	131,259$54,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,739.86	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Argentina	42c	120,000$50,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,400	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Cabo Verde	58c	90,000$52,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,799.99	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c2…2ab0backed Argentina	42c	88,002$36,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,960.95	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.37per pick	50cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Argentina	42c	71,429$30,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,000	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Cabo Verde	57c	59,996$34,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,798.36	135	43%58 W · 77 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Cabo Verde	58c	54,999$31,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,099.69	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Argentina	35c	51,422$17,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,781.83	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Argentina	37c	45,000$16,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,800	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Cabo Verde	56c	43,648$24,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,028.23	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Cabo Verde	58c	40,000$23,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,799.97	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Cabo Verde	59c	36,135$21,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,635.18	130	36.2%47 W · 83 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Cabo Verde	59c	34,200$20,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,022	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Cabo Verde	58c	34,081$19,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,314.1	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	54cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Cabo Verde	54c	30,133$16,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,861.12	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf32…3b90backed Argentina	42c	29,882$12,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,550.27	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Cabo Verde	59c	28,239$16,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,583.55	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Cabo Verde	58c	27,635$16,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,606.6	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5d…e218backed Cabo Verde	57c	26,783$15,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,516.66	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Argentina	42c	25,000$10,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,500	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Cabo Verde	62c	24,831$15,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,506.13	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Argentina	42c	20,200$8,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,484	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Cabo Verde	58c	20,010$11,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,404.1	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Argentina	41c	20,000$8,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,199.92	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Argentina	43c	19,482$8,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,377.06	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Argentina	43c	18,274$7,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,857.73	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Cabo Verde	58c	17,000$9,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,120	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Cabo Verde	59c	16,421$9,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,732.74	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Argentina	28c	15,573$4,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,352.35	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Argentina	41c	15,001$6,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,098	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cabo Verde	58c	14,170$8,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,918.02	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Argentina	42c	13,251$5,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,588.32	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Argentina	41c	13,000$5,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,330	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Cabo Verde	58c	12,500$7,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,250	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Argentina	42c	12,222$5,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,133.24	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina	36c	12,031$4,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,277.1	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Argentina	36c	12,000$4,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,299.99	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Argentina	42c	11,905$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cabo Verde	77c	11,729$9,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,711.25	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Argentina	43c	11,628$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Argentina	46c	10,870$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Argentina	40c	10,362$4,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,160.77	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Argentina	43c	10,349$4,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,450	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Argentina	42c	10,112$4,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,248.15	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Argentina	43c	10,001$4,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,300.46	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Cabo Verde	59c	10,000$5,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,100	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Argentina	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,100	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Argentina	42c	10,000$4,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,250	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Argentina	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,100	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Argentina	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,099.98	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Argentina	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,099.96	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Argentina	41c	9,817$4,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,037.67	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf90…e485backed Argentina	45c	9,444$4,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,258.87	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Cabo Verde	60c	9,000$5,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,639.98	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Cabo Verde	57c	8,772$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,771.93	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Cabo Verde	57c	8,711$4,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,745.76	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Argentina	27c	8,591$2,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,295.09	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Argentina	40c	8,553$3,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,462.58	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Argentina	46c	8,536$3,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,926.53	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Argentina	42c	8,333$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Cabo Verde	59c	8,000$4,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,280	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Argentina	41c	7,846$3,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,213.96	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Argentina	42c	7,151$3,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,003.53	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Argentina	43c	7,000$3,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,010	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Cabo Verde	58c	7,000$4,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,940	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Argentina	40c	7,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.98	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Argentina	36c	6,757$2,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,456.3	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Argentina	41c	6,682$2,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,735.26	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Argentina	41c	6,498$2,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,664.18	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Argentina	41c	6,098$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Cabo Verde	58c	6,000$3,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,519.99	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Cabo Verde	57c	5,892$3,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,519.27	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cabo Verde	58c	5,737$3,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400.76	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Argentina	39c	5,656$2,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,205.84	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Argentina	41c	5,619$2,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,303.68	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Cabo Verde	58c	5,509$3,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,293.32	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Argentina	36c	5,096$1,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,811.17	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Argentina	41c	5,000$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,050	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Argentina	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Cabo Verde	59c	5,000$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,050	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Argentina	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Argentina	42c	5,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Argentina	25c	4,906$1,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,224.2	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Argentina	38c	4,843$1,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,846.38	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Argentina	42c	4,762$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	252	28.2%71 W · 181 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Argentina	42c	4,762$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Argentina	43c	4,651$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Argentina	43c	4,614$1,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,984	142	25.4%36 W · 106 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Argentina	7c	4,591$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.46	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Cabo Verde	58c	4,149$2,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,733.94	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cabo Verde	60c	4,145$2,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,651.79	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Argentina	42c	4,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Argentina	43c	4,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)this page
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-4.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event