TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$583,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$643,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c127,531$41,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,0364,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over77c84,493$65,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,469.262,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over77c50,000$38,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,514.262,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over77c39,459$30,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,470.5823942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under22c39,249$8,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,614.137345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under23c31,200$7,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,120.9320731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under22c16,751$3,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,066.0215441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over78c10,762$8,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,350.612,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under23c9,958$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,679.232,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c9,953$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,414.913,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over42c8,923$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.734,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Under22c8,888$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,943.7436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over67c8,526$5,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,753.922,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under23c8,356$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,420.021,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over76c8,163$6,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,188.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under23c7,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,359.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under22c6,500$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,044.945646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over77c6,429$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under23c5,708$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.892,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under26c5,561$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.754,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under24c5,548$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,216.722,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over72c5,062$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622.858858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Over77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8502882.1%23 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over69c5,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.9718465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over49c4,901$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.732,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under29c4,400$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.112248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c4,351$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.582,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under22c4,318$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,368.0329740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under30c4,282$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.692,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Over77c4,075$3,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.069064.4%58 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over79c4,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.9935446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d6…3a04backed Over79c3,773$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.73560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Under19c3,110$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.289525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Under22c2,928$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.4923236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d64…ba4abacked Under23c2,772$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.392646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under23c2,716$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.183,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over77c2,598$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under21c2,501$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.7888838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf94f…0cc8backed Over79c2,278$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80014641.1%60 W · 86 L+0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Under23c2,225$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.4712344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over65c2,100$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.021,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over55c2,098$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.8741331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd3…117ebacked Over76c2,020$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.2128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.9743248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Over77c1,957$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.6414347.6%68 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92be…3475backed Over78c1,920$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.295362.3%33 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under25c1,763$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.695037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under23c1,728$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.161752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5db…203fbacked Over72c1,667$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…2e0cbacked Over78c1,667$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003171%22 W · 9 L+7.2wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+56.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x304d…29e9backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under26c1,554$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.9145145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x209c…6502backed Over78c1,527$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under23c1,503$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.163,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under24c1,500$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.4916633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under20c1,479$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.220333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over77c1,400$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.993571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over72c1,388$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.3615763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under23c1,339$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.711,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…f868backed Over77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005662.5%35 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a8b…6f0bbacked Over79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004776.6%36 W · 11 L+7.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ca0…9e43backed Over78c1,211$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.591485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over73c1,160$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.841,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Over77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7709354.8%51 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7705549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77012056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x597b…9ea8backed Over65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Over77c999.99$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.9910752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.997332.9%24 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under23c999.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over60c926$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.61,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Over78c914.93$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.571662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over79c900$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.679573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1e00…1a29backed Over79c831.62$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.983959%23 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under23c700.11$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.291,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Over76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef9…3d08backed Over77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f21…a5b1backed Over77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002075%15 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under23c643.13$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.011,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under24c624.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Over69c600$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4143568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under22c600$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over70c594.99$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.2965036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over79c590.82$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7517045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over65c586.26$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.432,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over80c581.56$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.2514866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over77c574.09$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.0514440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over59c573$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.471,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under66c566$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.17558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Under23c558.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.064736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under32c552.26$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7682537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Over75c540$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40514953.7%80 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67c…f2dabacked Over77c518.08$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b2…b5c7backed Over78c515.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under21c501.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.411,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.