TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,402 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2da8…2a95backed Under0c18,000$18 inLost-$181010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under0c9,370$16 inLost-$15.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under6c6,209$396 inLost-$396.14,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under6c5,850$363 inLost-$363.322,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under7c4,852$359 inLost-$358.724,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under7c4,321$289 inLost-$288.813,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under7c3,571$260 inLost-$260.382,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under7c3,571$260 inLost-$260.383,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under7c3,570$251 inLost-$251.262,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Under7c3,333$233 inLost-$233.3136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Under7c1,428$100 inLost-$99.965529.1%16 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under6c1,418$85 inLost-$85.0720724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under6c1,372$82 inLost-$82.32,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under6c887$53 inLost-$53.221,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under8c700$56 inLost-$5630137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under5c680.33$34 inLost-$34.0270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Under2c600$12 inLost-$122927.6%8 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick8cpaid+805.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under7c452$32 inLost-$31.641,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under7c428.57$30 inLost-$3021029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under5c425.71$23 inLost-$22.781,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e3…3efdbacked Under7c417.88$30 inLost-$304122%9 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under6c391.1$24 inLost-$23.653,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under9c383.42$35 inLost-$34.513,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under6c340.61$20 inLost-$20.4495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under7c315.65$22 inLost-$21.631,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed Under6c273.22$16 inLost-$16.397823.1%18 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…4b75backed Under7c243.14$17 inLost-$17.025922%13 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under6c231.96$14 inLost-$14.373,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under10c225.15$22 inLost-$22.32,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3250…7beabacked Under7c214.29$15 inLost-$152839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under7c200$14 inLost-$141,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under7c174.12$12 inLost-$12.192,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb0…5565backed Under8c125$10 inLost-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.