TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Argentina (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cabo Verdeof Argentina, Cabo Verde
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,101 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x06bc…1219backed Argentina10c66,546$6,450 inLost-$6,450.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x364c…b541backed Argentina10c10,000$1,000 inLost-$999.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-63%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Argentina6c2,127$131 inLost-$130.722,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Argentina10c1,485$149 inLost-$148.56749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Argentina10c1,100$110 inLost-$11022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Argentina8c1,006$76 inLost-$76.374,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Argentina9c1,000$90 inLost-$9016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Argentina9c999.99$90 inLost-$9022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Argentina9c701.19$60 inLost-$59.6472722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Argentina9c700$63 inLost-$6347127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Argentina6c683.91$41 inLost-$41.0327034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Argentina8c600.86$48 inLost-$48.0774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Argentina9c555.56$50 inLost-$5047029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Argentina9c539.8$50 inLost-$49.522020%4 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Argentina6c533.31$30 inLost-$29.672,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Argentina10c507.1$51 inLost-$50.715930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Argentina9c500$45 inLost-$4595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Argentina9c499.99$45 inLost-$459741.2%40 W · 57 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…98e3backed Argentina9c499.99$45 inLost-$452634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Argentina9c499.97$45 inLost-$4545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Argentina7c429.18$30 inLost-$30.0442710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Argentina7c360.16$25 inLost-$25.212,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed Argentina9c349.97$32 inLost-$327321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Argentina9c339.26$31 inLost-$30.5353436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Argentina9c300$27 inLost-$2727242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49a…4fb6backed Argentina10c300$29 inLost-$291513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Argentina10c300$30 inLost-$3014534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Argentina10c250$25 inLost-$2514425.7%37 W · 107 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Argentina10c250$25 inLost-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3670…18e8backed Argentina9c250$22 inLost-$22.56113.1%8 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Argentina10c249.49$25 inLost-$24.8697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina10c179.12$18 inLost-$18.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65a7…a216backed Argentina10c170$17 inLost-$173647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Argentina7c150$10 inLost-$10.487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Argentina10c100$10 inLost-$1017045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Argentina10c100$10 inLost-$1018426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1d…d849backed Argentina10c100$10 inLost-$108027.5%22 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+79.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Argentina10c100$10 inLost-$1020729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.