Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba86ff47ca8edc6e15ad552cd00f70376d92b4a50fb52afd60c898e873a2f51

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $516,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $636,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,202 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over	7c	21,977$1,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,596.54	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	4c	15,445$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.53	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over	2c	12,467$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.5	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked Over	8c	12,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	4c	10,772$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.45	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over	7c	10,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	214	44.4%95 W · 119 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over	7c	7,160$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.2	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	7c	7,098$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.14	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	7c	7,021$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.45	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	8c	6,429$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.28	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	5c	5,665$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.94	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	5c	4,679$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.22	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	8c	4,544$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.76	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	7c	4,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	7c	3,679$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.86	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	6c	3,566$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.58	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over	8c	3,538$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.5	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over	7c	2,500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	7c	2,401$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.08	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77cb…9c2abacked Over	1c	2,222$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	31cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over	7c	2,143$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over	7c	1,428$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	8c	1,263$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.02	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	5c	1,056$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.22	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	8c	1,048$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.75	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	228	35.5%81 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	7c	999.92$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.99	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	7c	989.25$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.25	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	8c	843.27$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.46	362	50%181 W · 181 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	7c	777.59$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.43	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over	6c	721.24$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.46	589	42.6%251 W · 338 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	3c	713.48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ca…298dbacked Over	8c	630$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+127.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	2c	553.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0367…e7fbbacked Over	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over	3c	459.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	186	28.5%53 W · 133 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Over	7c	421.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.51	164	49.4%81 W · 83 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7744…d8d6backed Over	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	93	19.4%18 W · 75 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	7c	390$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over	8c	380$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	98	30.6%30 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over	5c	320$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.88	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	8c	312$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Over	6c	300$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	141	19.9%28 W · 113 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over	5c	285.63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	7c	275$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over	7c	258.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	5c	252.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.69	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e19…9cd4backed Over	8c	211.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21fe…da90backed Over	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	463	19.9%92 W · 371 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…8144backed Over	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f9…6d50backed Over	8c	162.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Over	8c	160$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	33	0%0 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	7c	160$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over	7c	150.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x856c…72dfbacked Over	8c	143.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-54%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce04…e871backed Over	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5this page
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-4.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event