TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$380,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x13ce…bf33backed Under69c20,000$13,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,849.862263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under65c17,827$11,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,587.738943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c12,920$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,785.94,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under66c10,885$7,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,184.0914349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over33c10,400$3,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,944.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over33c10,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,70074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under66c10,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.9520724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over34c9,001$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,940.6540655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under0c7,820$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c58…7760backed Under0c7,062$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6260%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Over28c6,971$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,027.9523513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c6,921$4,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,724.164,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over34c6,678$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,376.712,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Under78c6,334$4,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,967.4812454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under66c5,425$3,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,580.653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under65c5,218$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.8370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.9586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Under77c3,944$3,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,037.254351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under32c3,384$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.352,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed Under12c3,351$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.034027.5%11 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69b3…dc76backed Under12c3,250$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over23c3,224$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under74c3,158$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over34c3,141$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.892,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Under65c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010749.5%53 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under66c2,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65031851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over34c2,492$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.162,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under76c2,419$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.1731152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under75c2,394$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7921,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under13c2,301$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under75c2,073$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.264,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under74c1,904$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.072,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked Under13c1,750$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302250%11 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+389%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over34c1,647$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.0259752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c1,503$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97516633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa451…449ebacked Over33c1,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.833638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under10c1,400$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1469912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7148…e85abacked Under14c1,273$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.491618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over35c1,178$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.1516747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Over34c1,176$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.479334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked Under21c1,150$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2417331.5%23 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+58.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Over24c1,129$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.174238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over34c1,052$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.993,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over25c1,020$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.791,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6605863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4c…b237backed Under79c999.99$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.993452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Over34c999.97$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9812227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over35c979.15$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.4546546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c977.52$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.352,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under72c964.11$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.931,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over78c900$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.729573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x93bd…89bcbacked Over33c880.58$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.993435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Under67c871.84$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.138941.6%37 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd380…0700backed Over35c861.54$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under25c852.87$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.742,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Over27c807.37$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.386129.5%18 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under66c803.73$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.4612846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over29c777$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.6736123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50076551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over34c760.01$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.023,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Under66c759.98$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.598450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe580…3554backed Under66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over33c757$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.192,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over33c757$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.192,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over33c755.96$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.493,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21df…af60backed Under71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under2c661$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.182,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over34c655.76$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.824950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed Under78c641.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a6…ff0bbacked Over24c633.33$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.332378.3%18 W · 5 L+7.0wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+97.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under75c612.51$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.3816165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Under78c600$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46614252.1%74 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf5…7fadbacked Under16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96560%3 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick14cpaid+761.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over34c596.31$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.751,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Over26c581.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.383125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over34c511.41$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5317852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…8266backed Under67c506.87$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.64850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ca…1e53backed Over20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011330.1%34 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Under65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32510752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Over34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Under69c499.97$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9818644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over34c487.61$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.541,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over27c467.52$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.592,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeea…5494backed Under77c462.61$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Over22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5511357.5%65 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked Over34c452.94$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.942450%12 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8459…47dabacked Under78c445.63$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.591353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over34c441.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x492a…46aebacked Over33c434.41$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.052157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ade…9951backed Under67c413.42$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.997861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Under67c409.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.697636.8%28 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.