TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$902,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$956,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $902,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90b9…9afebacked Over0c258,801$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9790…628ebacked Over0c109,761$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.521435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over1c62,868$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Over19c26,360$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over9c13,035$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.931,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Over18c12,225$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.497237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over17c11,647$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.31,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over11c9,418$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.321,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…4931backed Over18c6,639$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.035250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Over18c5,555$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.914325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Over19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over2c4,662$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over10c4,640$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.71,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over5c4,565$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4316325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over10c4,563$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.441,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over10c4,458$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.6939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec9…1e0cbacked Over18c4,323$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.22137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over4c3,946$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8458530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf418…ab79backed Over10c3,792$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.182466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over8c2,780$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4359230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over13c2,561$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.052,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c2,422$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.663,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Over18c2,284$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.167826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over17c1,764$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.871,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over11c1,628$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over17c1,348$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over15c1,234$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.122943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed Over17c1,230$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.092245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fc1…0c67backed Over18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004311.6%5 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over15c1,036$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.92,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over14c982.17$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over11c935.94$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.841,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Over10c865$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.617448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over6c811.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3658942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Over18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14424045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over9c769.16$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over19c684.21$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over18c630$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over18c619.18$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over6c612.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over16c596.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9538437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over19c569.79$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2614612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over5c556.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.082,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb5d…0c35backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d5…7344backed Over9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508439.3%33 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009033.3%30 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…88f5backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009028.9%26 W · 64 L-10.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x552c…7427backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over16c554.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4724947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over18c539.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1112117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f91…2819backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b8…a939backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62f8…f64fbacked Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018452.2%96 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf6…22a9backed Over18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over18c463.5$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4313345.1%60 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed Over9c454.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.137823.1%18 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over18c428.86$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0472722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over7c388$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8131232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over4c333.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.012,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over5c333$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6543826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5bb…dfb4backed Over19c316.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.191936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over11c280$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.877051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3121…967cbacked Over11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over18c269$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.421,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…2e20backed Over19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506918.8%13 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over17c246.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.981,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over18c245.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2426243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c243.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.554,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over18c239.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.223427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over11c233.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7179149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over18c220$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26a7…be9bbacked Over18c211.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.064626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5376…f48abacked Over18c205.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.964725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3632928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…ef3abacked Over18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over11c191.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.145548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02eb…a47abacked Over18c191.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.525424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x042f…30ebbacked Over18c191.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.525424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0274…5a2ebacked Over18c191.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.525424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over11c187$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5741551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe03b…e801backed Over18c184.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.184623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aba…4b1ebacked Over18c175.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.584723.4%11 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc1…8fe0backed Over18c167$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.064621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c37…d887backed Over18c159.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.710427.9%29 W · 75 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c95…01c4backed Over18c159.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.710427.9%29 W · 75 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Over18c159.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6853514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f1…ae1abacked Over19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015939%62 W · 97 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4b…6cbdbacked Over18c157$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2610527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc08f…fbe2backed Over18c156.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2310527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.1wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7710…8417backed Over18c156.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2310527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x673b…7a24backed Over18c153.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.575320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c99…5351backed Over18c153.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.565320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.