TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$881,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$964,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfc45…911fbacked Yes68c145,864$98,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,543.562437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No38c56,232$21,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,005.825753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed No59c29,999$17,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,312.695366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed No40c20,054$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,053.995328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes48c14,460$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes0c12,445$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.788415.5%13 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Yes12c12,270$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.053522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes43c12,042$5,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,140.717034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No80c11,203$8,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.332,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed No72c9,175$6,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.2146223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No65c9,097$5,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.3434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes38c9,074$3,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.7731545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c8,656$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.838,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed No72c8,421$6,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.4818056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked No37c8,225$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,219.886622.7%15 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x417d…08f7backed Yes3c7,695$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003920.5%8 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09b0…33a5backed Yes1c7,304$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick14cpaid+107%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed No43c6,916$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.431644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Yes8c6,775$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.4419653.6%105 W · 91 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebc…6bfdbacked No80c6,276$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.3811357.5%65 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed No55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9515226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed No8c5,893$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,397.855119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a57…d10fbacked No8c5,893$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,397.853619.4%7 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+506.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes11c5,516$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed No49c5,146$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.026947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes36c5,130$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.420186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed No72c4,288$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.5715335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6b…0f6ebacked No41c4,264$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed No7c4,018$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,717.855318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbc6…0018backed Yes39c3,690$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4341656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f4…1885backed Yes60c3,638$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes36c3,618$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.524,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…c6edbacked Yes58c3,442$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.313821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No47c3,258$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.2827034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed No10c3,125$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8255223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked No10c3,125$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8253713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed No10c3,125$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8254027.5%11 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes10c3,000$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30635036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Yes36c3,000$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9814242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x302b…e4bebacked Yes61c2,951$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.638140.7%33 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No56c2,842$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.752,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No49c2,822$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.1828731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f79…dfb6backed Yes11c2,708$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…7143backed Yes49c2,576$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No63c2,541$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.7720646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes45c2,527$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.9224635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca6…00e8backed Yes40c2,506$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1370…2cfdbacked Yes52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.025156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe557…85bcbacked No10c2,500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2603411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid+34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7148…e85abacked No10c2,500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2601618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked No10c2,500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2602250%11 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+389%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Yes7c2,500$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8324540.8%100 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked No62c2,356$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.077754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No9c2,250$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.511216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked No15c2,200$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.527331.5%23 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+58.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No67c2,185$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.0417569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f16…780cbacked Yes11c2,124$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.36407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes64c2,027$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3004619.6%9 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9928526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked No43c1,992$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked No10c1,900$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70210420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes5c1,896$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.12,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes8c1,878$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed No59c1,841$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.931752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4c…b237backed No61c1,795$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.183452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdc…6a24backed Yes46c1,754$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.934431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1e…49e9backed Yes14c1,732$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0abd…2121backed Yes12c1,708$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1950%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No40c1,700$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.585536.4%20 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf916…2bf6backed Yes62c1,608$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b3…dc76backed No11c1,587$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.881827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b05…1553backed Yes1c1,539$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.182010%2 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Yes6c1,526$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked No66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4130465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked No8c1,500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3802330.4%7 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+231.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes37c1,500$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.498748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba88…fd2bbacked No65c1,496$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.257919%15 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…f12cbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002020%4 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53fd…be83backed Yes44c1,410$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.43666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…e8e1backed Yes31c1,403$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.4311437.7%43 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed No10c1,400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2649912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Yes47c1,391$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6604641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4029…c8b3backed Yes10c1,386$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.155326.4%14 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked No40c1,372$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.6916050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…f522backed Yes36c1,371$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007626.3%20 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebfd…fd63backed Yes11c1,361$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.711070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes61c1,322$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.8110921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…b496backed No73c1,302$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.7310844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes39c1,290$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdb…92dbbacked No36c1,256$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.375326.4%14 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes60c1,250$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.8511247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes21c1,208$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6566932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…03adbacked No8c1,200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1041533.3%5 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+583.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed No63c1,200$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.599745.4%44 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No37c1,187$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.1414252.1%74 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b1…00acbacked Yes8c1,168$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc3…4141backed Yes1c1,167$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210529.5%31 W · 74 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes7c1,155$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.59128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed No53c1,152$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.18746%40 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f9…ac3bbacked Yes61c1,150$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.