Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f9abfba26f37d6174d9b3b283bc295f0d4249de0991a752763c95f1445a1eeb

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Senegalof Belgium, Senegal
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $678,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $712,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,222 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Senegal	77c	80,000$61,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,399.96	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Belgium	25c	80,000$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,999.96	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Senegal	75c	50,302$37,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,572.25	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Senegal	77c	50,000$38,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,499.96	41	78%32 W · 9 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+35%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Belgium	25c	44,442$11,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,154.85	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Belgium	20c	33,642$6,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,886.37	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Senegal	79c	27,685$21,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,857.07	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Belgium	25c	22,720$5,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,688.39	100	56%56 W · 44 L	+11.6wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Belgium	23c	21,739$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Belgium	26c	19,515$5,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,073.97	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Belgium	26c	17,681$4,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,668.15	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Belgium	23c	17,051$3,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,921.73	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Belgium	22c	14,779$3,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,319.15	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Senegal	76c	12,556$9,569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,986.83	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Belgium	25c	12,412$3,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,081.31	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Senegal	78c	10,810$8,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,389.52	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Belgium	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Belgium	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,199.96	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Senegal	73c	8,994$6,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,428.37	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Belgium	23c	8,696$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Belgium	25c	6,121$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.41	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Senegal	77c	5,440$4,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,268.8	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Senegal	77c	5,000$3,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,134.98	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Senegal	74c	4,670$3,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235.86	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Senegal	78c	4,649$3,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,022.77	50	80%40 W · 10 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Belgium	23c	4,348$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Belgium	23c	4,348$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Belgium	27c	4,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	-9.8wins	-0.19per pick	38cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Senegal	75c	3,967$2,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.31	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Senegal	75c	3,588$2,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.67	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Senegal	74c	3,000$2,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Senegal	79c	2,981$2,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.47	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2b…c1c1backed Belgium	7c	2,753$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.69	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-31%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Senegal	74c	2,703$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.7	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Senegal	74c	2,662$1,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$692.16	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Senegal	74c	2,568$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.57	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Senegal	75c	2,291$1,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.21	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Senegal	75c	2,242$1,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.83	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Senegal	73c	2,229$1,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.36	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd48…0074backed Belgium	23c	2,174$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	+7.3wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Senegal	75c	2,066$1,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.45	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	70cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Senegal	78c	2,006$1,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.13	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Belgium	16c	1,980$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.72	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Belgium	23c	1,958$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.69	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d47…d0a2backed Belgium	23c	1,916$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.61	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-45%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Belgium	23c	1,881$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.7	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2a…267ebacked Senegal	78c	1,875$1,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.51	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Belgium	23c	1,816$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.33	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Senegal	76c	1,813$1,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.07	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Senegal	75c	1,813$1,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.38	232	40.5%94 W · 138 L	-11.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked Belgium	23c	1,648$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Belgium	22c	1,639$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.5	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Belgium	25c	1,600$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9016…7d9dbacked Belgium	26c	1,538$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Senegal	79c	1,503$1,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.7	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Senegal	77c	1,500$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	92	66.3%61 W · 31 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Senegal	73c	1,442$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.04	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Belgium	23c	1,304$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	193	29%56 W · 137 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Senegal	76c	1,294$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.56	157	45.9%72 W · 85 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e24…3474backed Senegal	78c	1,282$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.05	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Senegal	76c	1,250$956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.16	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Senegal	77c	1,250$957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.43	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Belgium	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Belgium	26c	1,154$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Belgium	7c	1,128$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.79	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9da…3ef5backed Belgium	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Belgium	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.97	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02db…b062backed Belgium	23c	1,101$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.15	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Belgium	19c	1,094$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.82	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Belgium	22c	1,074$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.23	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a1…504cbacked Belgium	23c	1,026$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Senegal	74c	1,024$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.24	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Belgium	17c	1,000$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Senegal	77c	1,000$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Senegal	77c	999.81$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.96	303	45.2%137 W · 166 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Belgium	9c	988.89$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	110	20%22 W · 88 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Senegal	74c	986$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.36	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Senegal	77c	974.01$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.02	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd2f…077ebacked Belgium	22c	909.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	82	32.9%27 W · 55 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71fb…163fbacked Senegal	77c	896.1$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.1	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Belgium	23c	869.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Senegal	75c	838.24$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.01	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e08…b249backed Senegal	75c	803.06$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.06	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Belgium	26c	769.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	185	50.3%93 W · 92 L	+12.5wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x382e…4f6bbacked Belgium	27c	740.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	94	37.2%35 W · 59 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b94…87d9backed Senegal	78c	739.74$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.74	111	64.9%72 W · 39 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Belgium	9c	728.4$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.4	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Senegal	76c	728.39$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.91	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Senegal	77c	719.82$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.56	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Belgium	26c	657.69$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	151	57.6%87 W · 64 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Belgium	3c	655.2$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe838…92fbbacked Belgium	23c	641.67$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed Senegal	80c	625$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Belgium	24c	625$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	194	42.3%82 W · 112 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d2…ab03backed Senegal	78c	556.18$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.36	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Belgium	23c	543.48$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Senegal	74c	540.54$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.54	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Belgium	23c	530.43$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd68d…959abacked Belgium	27c	522.11$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.97	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+7.5wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Belgium	23c	521.74$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	309	28.8%89 W · 220 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)this page
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Senegal won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Senegal won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Belgium won
Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event