TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,804 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cea…03d4backed Over17c1,169$199 inWon+$97019250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under3c1,100$30 inLost-$3082537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126f…a49dbacked Over28c428.01$119 inWon+$309.078248.8%40 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under72c270.36$195 inLost-$194.752,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x608e…450dbacked Under75c260$195 inLost-$195580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over25c185.74$47 inWon+$138.5611360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over25c174.26$44 inWon+$130.74,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over19c167.56$32 inWon+$135.42,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under49c130.26$64 inLost-$64.2672247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed Under76c104.99$80 inLost-$8017959.2%106 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over17c98$17 inWon+$81.342,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over17c98$17 inWon+$81.342,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over17c98$17 inWon+$81.343,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18e…706dbacked Over18c85.89$15 inWon+$70.431216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under75c82.95$62 inLost-$62.2276445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over76c55.26$42 inWon+$13.261,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under23c54$12 inLost-$12.222,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over28c52$15 inWon+$37.41,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over57c50$29 inWon+$21.451,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over34c50$17 inWon+$3327255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x80fc…d9ecbacked Over24c42$10 inWon+$31.922927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over79c41$33 inWon+$8.4285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d55…ae35backed Under76c33.11$25 inLost-$25.164568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c9…57dcbacked Under76c26.32$20 inLost-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under75c18.5$14 inLost-$13.8878559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Under75c15$11 inLost-$11.257460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.