TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$740,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$769,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,969 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over34c179,999$61,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,199.7725038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c139,789$93,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,925.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under67c79,430$53,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,211.792774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed Over34c78,030$26,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,416.869845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under66c68,973$45,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,450.8716546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over35c54,342$19,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,019.722139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Under75c30,855$23,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,713.6613639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c29,580$6,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,816.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over34c28,755$9,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,737.7721333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under66c21,300$14,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,240.522,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under66c19,900$13,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,860.51,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over41c16,156$6,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,681.0364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over19c15,410$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.4222437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Under67c15,300$10,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04910734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under66c12,024$7,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,127.621,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over34c10,169$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.4529740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under66c9,714$6,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,302.7670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under66c7,389$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.4121046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over34c5,815$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.472,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over28c5,484$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.5322643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over29c5,405$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.242,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over34c5,281$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under66c5,113$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.421,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9686452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under59c3,195$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.9516050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under68c3,097$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.6715040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under66c2,934$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.721,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under66c2,928$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.561,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over11c2,845$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.382,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over8c2,771$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6923540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under70c2,606$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.3741331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c2,596$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.574,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under65c2,565$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.0259752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over3c2,433$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under55c2,398$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.9274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over30c2,355$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.33,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under66c2,282$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.7923353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under77c2,091$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.0365948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b8…0b16backed Over45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under53c1,615$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.2844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under65c1,527$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.4546546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over33c1,372$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.71,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over15c1,325$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under74c1,307$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.722,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over30c1,300$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.527028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over35c1,257$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over34c1,252$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.373,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over33c1,250$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.033,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over35c1,195$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.3721044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under69c1,104$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.2719649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under71c1,099$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.3173536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83fc…6c92backed Over47c1,065$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over47c1,060$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.3310537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c1,046$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3612,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over28c1,044$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.233315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over33c1,024$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.921,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Under67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33011042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over35c929.68$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.3938948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under75c821.88$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.417240.3%29 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over19c799.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under76c794.38$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6429740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under65c786$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.71,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under70c777.45$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.741,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under67c776.12$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.125955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over33c768.57$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.733,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under68c760.29$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.352455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over9c748$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3216150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Over34c743.56$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.814544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Under69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.649760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over30c699.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over19c682.48$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1427032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c675.39$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over34c652.94$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22232922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…421bbacked Over34c647.06$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208432.1%27 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Under79c634.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1811555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under66c610.64$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6246550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under78c609.01$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9423637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over30c594.02$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9953629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Over45c593.52$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.2713727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over35c586.03$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1133245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8202…f6a5backed Over22c578.28$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.633839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under66c559$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under74c515.89$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.14,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52c…04f6backed Over34c513$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.421040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Under67c507.46$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4627454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd189…b261backed Under60c500.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.331936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19021166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23014856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under68c493.51$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.351,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012123.1%28 W · 93 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under65c465$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.758651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.