TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$268,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under1c60,667$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.4141331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under0c8,222$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2182537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c7,569$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under53c7,274$3,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,881.862,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over45c6,670$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,668.514351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under1c5,444$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.882,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under48c5,422$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.4416546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over52c5,380$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.5223942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over47c5,158$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.692,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c5,098$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.724,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over27c3,577$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.432,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over33c3,403$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.282,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c2,964$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.472,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c2,546$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.653,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over31c2,500$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.7622943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c2,336$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.862,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Under74c2,023$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.566863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9608748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under52c1,733$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.51,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Under48c1,547$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.53243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over41c1,499$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.4170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c1,480$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.24,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c1,462$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.452,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under57c1,399$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.292,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under55c1,394$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.4736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over20c1,377$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.991,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c1,250$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.313,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under53c1,250$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.493,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c1,217$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over48c1,198$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.927560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under47c1,111$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.1719037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over18c1,103$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.774,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6710261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86de…55c3backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Under62c1,000$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.698450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Over26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7403568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over11c1,000$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8909821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9910335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under49c999.96$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.981,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over28c969.77$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3329636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under55c729.85$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4210359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over17c672.76$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.3922135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over38c601$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.621,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31820638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under12c592.51$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.15724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over30c565$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.1616725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over44c512$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.721,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Under62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3104247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2857047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd99c…2efdbacked Over16c500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42015312.4%19 W · 134 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2855648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3300…ead7backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under52c459.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.551,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Over48c452$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0434751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under52c424$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4819750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Under69c413.46$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.292268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over22c413$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.1377051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Under63c399.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.998140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Under51c388.24$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1987255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under49c357.14$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17513729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over18c351.62$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.621,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Over43c351$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.077247.2%34 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over49c349.68$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.331,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under52c335.8$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6112846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07f9…d1b4backed Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003060%18 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under75c333$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.757558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3317…7cb6backed Under60c329.73$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.845750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over21c327.48$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7179149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over19c315$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.1659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f0b…0302backed Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…0ff5backed Over31c299.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.999364.5%60 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over45c294.16$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.591,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under22c285.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0765036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Under21c275.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.569631.3%30 W · 66 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+93.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over20c275$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1541551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over21c270.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2545548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Over18c260$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.227837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over25c250$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.514949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.540736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Under53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.54847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under73c241.66$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.971,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Under53c241.51$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810550.5%53 W · 52 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3323554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f4e…686bbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Over48c205$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.627744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Over12c201.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6913119.1%25 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8b…ebe0backed Over15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1807724.7%19 W · 58 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under80c198.16$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.871,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Under77c194.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b9…a8e7backed Over21c193.05$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.514658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over26c179.58$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.895315.1%8 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over20c173.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.842,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.