Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x979ace9bbe4befb490753dccce51a8fecd55c51f32e4daec5d0c74f3cb826495

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $93,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $102,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,941 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x970e…4c6fbacked Over	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	21c	4,653$977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.03	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	6c	4,477$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.92	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	13c	2,974$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.14	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	23c	1,894$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.26	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over	22c	1,736$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.99	75	60%45 W · 30 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	79c	1,657$1,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over	11c	1,527$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	128	53.9%69 W · 59 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	77c	1,478$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.47	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ce…1276backed Over	21c	1,429$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	80c	1,250$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.51	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	79c	1,048$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.16	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	11c	962.73$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.45	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	9c	874.07$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.63	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	76c	869.99$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.73	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	11c	808.5$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.72	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	3c	800$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under	77c	656$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	80c	512$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.4	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under	80c	501$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.2	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	7c	475$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.41	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	16c	472.4$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.58	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Over	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	99	17.2%17 W · 82 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over	7c	424$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.68	167	25.7%43 W · 124 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	78c	357.43$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.63	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under	78c	333$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.26	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c6…3a8fbacked Under	77c	319$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.37	12	100%12 W · 0 L	+3.5wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	78c	306.94$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.08	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…2d0fbacked Over	10c	301$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	80c	300$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Over	11c	285.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	180	37.2%67 W · 113 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	284	44.4%126 W · 158 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	80c	216.75$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.39	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Over	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	213	21.1%45 W · 168 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	19c	201.14$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.11	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	8c	194.85$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	78c	173$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.07	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	22c	150$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	22c	150$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	22c	150$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	22c	150$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	22c	150$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	18c	130.19$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Over	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80fc…d9ecbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36e7…f307backed Over	17c	97.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae1…dde8backed Over	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	21c	71.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	79c	70$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Over	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under	78c	64.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	42	73.8%31 W · 11 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe369…0515backed Over	24c	62.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	80c	60.82$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.2	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	80c	60$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under	79c	39$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.19	237	61.2%145 W · 92 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	78c	37$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.14	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	79c	27.23$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.71	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	79c	26.6$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.59	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Under	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.1	548	59.5%326 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e75…a4dbbacked Under	77c	17.91$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.12	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Under	76c	16.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.83	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefd6…1627backed Under	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5this page
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Senegal won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Senegal won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Senegal won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Belgium won
Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event