TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,065 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f0f…1366backed Over14c6,184$844 inLost-$843.6413043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Over4c3,874$155 inLost-$154.975236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over9c1,000$90 inLost-$9054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over17c895.34$153 inLost-$1531910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over19c785.93$150 inLost-$15089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under61c585.37$357 inWon+$228.2977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over8c487.83$38 inLost-$38.471,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over8c454.14$37 inLost-$37.293,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over23c434.26$100 inLost-$10015455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over12c409.16$49 inLost-$48.624,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Over4c375$15 inLost-$1511412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over18c333.33$60 inLost-$6017948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over9c300$27 inLost-$2722634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf265…270dbacked Over17c294.12$50 inLost-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8db…55e8backed Over8c225$18 inLost-$182623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over16c221.52$35 inLost-$3517322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over19c200$38 inLost-$386836.8%25 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Over8c187.5$15 inLost-$1513528.1%38 W · 97 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over20c150$30 inLost-$3010440.4%42 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over10c110$11 inLost-$10.532,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over68c105.68$72 inLost-$71.862,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5238…ba99backed Over20c101.06$20 inLost-$2015335.3%54 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc117…78b7backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over20c98.52$20 inLost-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over20c70$14 inLost-$14.0728326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under47c31.2$15 inWon+$16.582,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under64c19.18$12 inWon+$6.8345145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.