Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x988e334f26dfa3530990fdd45cd9b56a3f8b56d08fb92fb09aeb5650f7818643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 48c | 7,383$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.33 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 13c | 5,247$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 52c | 3,589$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.41 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 1,724$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.33 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Under | 47c | 1,641$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.96 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,444$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.52 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…b9dbbacked Over | 51c | 1,098$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Over | 51c | 1,003$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.62 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 816.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.32 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Under | 49c | 784.48$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.38 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 761.48$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 686.63$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.57 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…08eebacked Over | 50c | 528.26$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.13 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 506.78$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.77 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 51c | 418.56$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 390.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 329.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over | 51c | 253.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Under | 48c | 208.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…fa00backed Over | 53c | 205.26$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Under | 49c | 133.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Under | 49c | 124.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Under | 49c | 116.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 114.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 53c | 76.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 51c | 69.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Under | 55c | 67.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed Over | 52c | 57.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…fb95backed Under | 64c | 48.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 49c | 41.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 52c | 40.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…c000backed Over | 51c | 38.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 51c | 31.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Under | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.