TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Senegal (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Belgiumof Senegal, Belgium
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$837,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$840,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $837,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Senegal21c56,362$12,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,102.5818740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Senegal39c44,813$17,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,339.62,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Senegal30c28,055$8,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,466.072,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Belgium34c26,674$9,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,517.021,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Senegal9c25,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.039131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Senegal66c20,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,2001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Senegal9c20,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80012536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Senegal53c18,715$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00013843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Senegal14c16,197$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.133,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Senegal20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Senegal9c12,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Senegal36c10,999$3,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,908.1322437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Senegal9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3b…583bbacked Senegal0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Senegal10c9,731$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94629018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Senegal8c9,498$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Senegal47c8,999$4,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,259.336235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Belgium79c8,501$6,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.071,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked Senegal8c8,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6404221.4%9 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Senegal9c7,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6751,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Belgium58c7,106$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.223,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Belgium47c6,123$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.6915147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Senegal9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Belgium51c4,600$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.414250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Senegal9c4,444$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Senegal69c4,326$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.3620646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7110…b042backed Senegal54c4,259$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Belgium31c4,125$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Senegal10c4,055$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Senegal10c3,864$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Senegal79c3,797$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.220839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Senegal8c3,752$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.178627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Senegal62c3,573$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Senegal4c3,563$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55a6…eeb0backed Senegal61c3,558$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.184242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Senegal20c3,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70014234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Senegal49c3,346$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.0643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Senegal9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008231.7%26 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Senegal10c3,150$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Belgium48c3,031$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.4625753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Senegal9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Senegal75c2,649$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9921946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Belgium35c2,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6259033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Senegal12c2,386$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27810136.6%37 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Senegal29c2,281$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.5537223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Senegal16c2,222$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5234249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Senegal76c2,222$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.7218543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Senegal48c2,030$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.1620856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Senegal9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Senegal10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Senegal9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…26e9backed Senegal18c2,000$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.714634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Senegal20c2,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9924635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Senegal24c1,972$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.7238960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Senegal38c1,872$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.452,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Belgium22c1,801$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.0716033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Belgium30c1,617$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.5713623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Belgium31c1,613$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.95328.3%15 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Senegal17c1,610$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.712145.5%55 W · 66 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Senegal23c1,587$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.954,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed Belgium31c1,557$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.425448.1%26 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Senegal1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Senegal3c1,433$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Senegal8c1,350$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9919713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Senegal21c1,335$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Senegal7c1,299$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.422,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Senegal54c1,297$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0126459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed Senegal76c1,284$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.846538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Senegal8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015846.2%73 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Belgium49c1,209$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.841,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Senegal8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9660821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Senegal9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Senegal9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Senegal9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9927811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579f…b631backed Senegal64c1,087$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.942548%12 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc870…eb46backed Senegal20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Senegal20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Senegal20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Senegal21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked Belgium38c952.24$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.2916046.3%74 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Senegal17c917.65$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Senegal54c916.31$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.392,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed Senegal22c913.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0882…6bc3backed Senegal10c909.2$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.92160%0 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Senegal10c891$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8530220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Senegal14c864.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Senegal21c864.05$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4515048%72 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe40b…9ab4backed Senegal58c860.47$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.7419939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Senegal20c846.93$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0311020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Senegal10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011230.4%34 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Senegal10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d3…4d37backed Senegal58c798.98$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.416845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Belgium37c792.16$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.0610328.2%29 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Belgium79c770.95$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8518765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Belgium24c764$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.6416150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Belgium79c753.18$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1273536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Belgium72c733.8$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd58e…bf44backed Senegal8c711.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.911225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Senegal9c711.01$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8831920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…29e6backed Senegal28c710.55$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-44.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.