TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$307,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,098 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c72,456$37,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,420.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over54c19,177$10,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,767.22,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c16,499$8,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,379.764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c15,668$8,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,762.294,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c14,514$7,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,335.962,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c12,029$5,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,108.93,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under67c9,200$6,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,163.941,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over58c8,880$5,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,687.384568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over34c6,500$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,321.4713454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under1c4,527$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2765737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c3,741$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.472,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under68c3,728$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524.072,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over32c3,642$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.8715650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Over34c3,569$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.275947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over59c3,416$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.445959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Over45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.3314546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Under57c3,029$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.532860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7107034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c2,764$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Under56c2,092$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.412755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0810949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over57c1,891$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.748156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over47c1,882$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.8216953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over57c1,800$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.311,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under67c1,678$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.391,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over33c1,506$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.0632922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over43c1,454$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.8917852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over31c1,402$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.212,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under6c1,200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over33c1,162$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.6429636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over56c1,076$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.9741331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over31c1,074$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.1916747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over49c1,065$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.952,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under48c999.98$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.9914856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over52c976.32$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.161,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c969.35$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over34c920.35$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.3518742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0915455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0923336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under12c908.32$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5811216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over57c841.56$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.877639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c810.75$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.23,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Under45c777.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over28c621.5$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.4870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under67c597.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over52c568.7$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.652,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under66c551.05$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.991,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7121443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe121…30b9backed Over32c531.25$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.252657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45b8…339fbacked Over46c524.23$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.33240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over33c510$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.712435.5%44 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under68c501$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.6861752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Over55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2255863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under72c476.7$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.2295739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under42c475.51$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2921937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under68c470.59$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32022355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Over40c468.46$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.029351.6%48 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over44c429$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2458049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccca…4c02backed Over33c422.36$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.982948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Over33c421.64$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.59349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under48c418$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed Under70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806352.4%33 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over54c395.94$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ce…1276backed Under67c364.6$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.281546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under10c364.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.322,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2a…79f3backed Over59c343.73$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under11c337.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5272247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under45c335$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6188852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1caf…6438backed Over54c330.59$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.632661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Over56c323.8$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.812352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b4…5113backed Under69c318.71$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.911968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3670…18e8backed Over32c317.38$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.826113.1%8 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Over32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.58540%34 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.519713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.56940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.516136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ca23backed Over32c306.78$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20116655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Over54c299.94$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9731941.4%132 W · 187 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over45c297.39$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.462,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf7…f420backed Under10c277.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.55185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Over45c275.56$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5614239.4%56 W · 86 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over44c267.24$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.8143145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over60c251.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.551,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Over34c235.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.297255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over60c226.33$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.321,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Over45c221.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12220851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd86…b0acbacked Over32c218.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.75742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19a5…40abbacked Over32c206.25$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.255733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3300…ead7backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca22…2ee7backed Over31c198.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.315060%30 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under45c193.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9416753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under25c190.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.232,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over31c185.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.163,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cff…ce54backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over31c178$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.822,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over56c175.82$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.368261%50 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.